poposub
0x3d7d0ba6c4cb6608e9b2ae9a7c6b4d822c6510fc
- Realised P&L
- $19.3k
- Volume
- $1.46M
- Markets traded
- 5,713
- Open portfolio
- $13.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded5,713
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration24.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.2kat 0.210Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$3.1kat 0.010Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
- +$2.9kat 0.049Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?
- +$2.7kat 0.002Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 24?
- +$2.7kat 0.313Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 11:32 | Will Juventus Turin win on 2026-08-08? | SELL | 0.16 | $1.43 |
| 08-08 11:31 | Will Inter Milano win on 2026-08-08? | BUY | 0.4983878678 | $9.80 |
| 08-08 11:31 | Will Juventus Turin vs. Inter Milano end in a draw? | BUY | 0.759999996 | $15.15 |
| 08-08 11:31 | Will Juventus Turin win on 2026-08-08? | BUY | 0.77 | $8.47 |
| 08-08 11:15 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C or higher on August 8? | BUY | 0.984143859 | $19.59 |
| 08-08 11:15 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.5459371909 | $10.75 |
| 08-08 11:15 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.5633953472 | $11.26 |
| 08-08 11:15 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.998 | $19.96 |
| 08-08 11:15 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.9015431114 | $17.64 |
| 08-08 09:00 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.9181023418 | $18.52 |
| 08-08 09:00 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 08:55 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.08 |
| 08-08 08:52 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.16 |
| 08-08 08:52 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.901 | $18.02 |
| 08-08 08:52 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.55 | $10.89 |