poposub
0x3d7d0ba6c4cb6608e9b2ae9a7c6b4d822c6510fc
- Realised P&L
- $9.2k
- Volume
- $1.70M
- Markets traded
- 6,878
- Open portfolio
- $154.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,878
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.5kat 0.000Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?
- +$2.5kat 0.008Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$2.2kat 0.249Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$2.0kat 0.015Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$2.0kat 0.015Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 05:31 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.01 |
| 09-22 04:10 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.01 |
| 09-22 04:07 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.45 |
| 09-22 04:05 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.64 | $58.88 |
| 09-22 04:05 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.33 | $30.36 |
| 09-22 04:05 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.998 | $91.81 |
| 09-22 04:05 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.97 | $89.24 |
| 09-22 04:05 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.64 | $14.72 |
| 09-22 04:05 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.2649447796 | $5.98 |
| 09-21 07:41 | Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.08 |
| 09-21 07:41 | Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.2996158694 | $7.80 |
| 09-21 07:41 | Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.7099999949 | $18.20 |
| 09-21 07:41 | Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.99 | $25.74 |
| 09-21 01:59 | Will Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Santos Laguna end in a draw? | BUY | 0.885053575 | $267.14 |
| 09-20 20:45 | Will Valencia CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw? | SELL | 0.44 | $54.12 |