PolyBot

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Traders

stevensu777

0x3d6d0319212e55128ac3a5646892c81715e7bb6b

Realised P&L
$-136.76
Volume
$5.6k
Markets traded
148
Open portfolio
$845.95

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded148
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration7.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Anthropic IPO: Open Price above IPO Price? · Yes0.8500.845$302.51−$1.79
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2T? · Yes0.7580.405$266.96−$233.04
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.75T? · Yes0.9000.645$143.29−$56.71
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.8400.850$85.00+$1.00
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.6300.665$39.89+$2.10
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.9400.922$8.30−$0.16
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner · KT Rolster0.8500.000$0.00−$20.00
Hornets vs. Pacers · Hornets0.5300.000$0.00−$10.00
Pelicans vs. Timberwolves · Timberwolves0.7900.000$0.00−$15.00
Rockets vs. Thunder · Thunder0.6000.000$0.00−$20.00
76ers vs. Cavaliers · 76ers0.2400.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-07? · Yes0.6100.000$0.00−$9.15
Thunder vs. Spurs · Thunder0.5400.000$0.00−$10.00
Rockets vs. Mavericks · Rockets0.7700.000$0.00−$10.00
Lakers vs. Clippers · Lakers0.2900.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-27 15:48Anthropic IPO: Open Price above IPO Price?BUY0.85$280.50
10-27 15:41Anthropic IPO: Open Price above IPO Price?BUY0.85$23.80
10-27 15:39Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?SELL0.0304539386$3.42
10-26 13:11Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.94$8.46
10-26 13:10Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?SELL0.06$6.00
10-18 04:38Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.29$29.00
10-18 04:37Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?SELL0.543$43.44
10-15 07:12Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?BUY0.63$37.79
10-08 14:00Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.84$84.00
10-08 13:48Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.75T?BUY0.900277008$200.00
10-08 13:48Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2T?BUY0.758543596$500.00
10-08 13:47Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?BUY0.8899999996$100.00
02-21 16:42Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-02-21?BUY0.7199999955$19.15
02-11 08:51Spurs vs. WarriorsBUY0.6699999839$10.00
02-11 08:50Clippers vs. RocketsBUY0.2599999646$5.00