0x3cb3a804e193e56eb53f7eafe1d32376ceb84484
0x3cb3a804e193e56eb53f7eafe1d32376ceb84484
- Realised P&L
- $-11.00
- Volume
- $786.83
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $4.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in October? · No | 0.180 | 0.235 | $1.31 | +$0.31 |
| Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026? · No | 0.390 | 0.485 | $1.24 | +$0.24 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in October? · No | 0.240 | 0.295 | $1.23 | +$0.23 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.005 | $0.79 | −$0.21 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET · Down | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.01 |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 4, 2026? · No | 0.014 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 1PM ET · Up | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5AM ET · Down | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Solana Up or Down on October 3? · Up | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on October 3? · Up | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.01at 0.511Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
- +$3.85at 0.692Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
- +$2.26at 0.819Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 6AM ET
- +$0.95at 0.522Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 11AM ET
- +$-0.14at 0.573Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 06:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4599999669 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 06:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | SELL | 0.81 | $10.13 |
| 10-05 06:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.8199999967 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 06:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.7799999813 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 06:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | SELL | 0.22 | $1.72 |
| 10-05 06:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 06:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 06:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | SELL | 0.27 | $0.93 |
| 10-05 06:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 06:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | SELL | 0.26 | $4.59 |
| 10-05 06:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $6.00 |
| 10-05 06:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | SELL | 0.33 | $1.37 |
| 10-05 06:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | SELL | 0.74 | $5.06 |
| 10-05 06:16 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.50 |
| 10-05 06:15 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.178 | $0.48 |