PolyBot

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Traders

0x3cb3a804e193e56eb53f7eafe1d32376ceb84484

0x3cb3a804e193e56eb53f7eafe1d32376ceb84484

Realised P&L
$-11.00
Volume
$786.83
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$4.56

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in October? · No0.1800.235$1.31+$0.31
Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026? · No0.3900.485$1.24+$0.24
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in October? · No0.2400.295$1.23+$0.23
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October? · Yes0.0070.005$0.79−$0.21
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET · Down0.4600.000$0.00−$5.01
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 4, 2026? · No0.0140.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 1PM ET · Up0.1800.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5AM ET · Down0.1900.000$0.00−$1.00
Solana Up or Down on October 3? · Up0.3500.000$0.00−$5.00
Ethereum Up or Down on October 3? · Up0.0600.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 06:49Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETBUY0.4599999669$5.00
10-05 06:45Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETSELL0.81$10.13
10-05 06:43Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETBUY0.8199999967$5.00
10-05 06:38Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETBUY0.7799999813$5.00
10-05 06:38Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETSELL0.22$1.72
10-05 06:36Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETBUY0.25$1.00
10-05 06:35Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETBUY0.2599999896$1.00
10-05 06:33Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETSELL0.27$0.93
10-05 06:30Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETBUY0.2899999884$1.00
10-05 06:29Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETSELL0.26$4.59
10-05 06:28Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETBUY0.3399999966$6.00
10-05 06:23Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETSELL0.33$1.37
10-05 06:23Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?SELL0.74$5.06
10-05 06:16Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.06$0.50
10-05 06:15Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.178$0.48