xiao01
0x3c9356075689d58bf75b50c844332a30bd5d6a5e
- Realised P&L
- $459.23
- Volume
- $28.8k
- Markets traded
- 263
- Open portfolio
- $18.59
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded263
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$46.96at 0.911Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 10, 2026?
- +$46.65at 0.230Will Israel strike Gaza on January 4, 2026?
- +$45.77at 0.230Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 1, 2026?
- +$44.71at 0.301Will Israel strike Gaza on February 28, 2026?
- +$41.38at 0.690Will Israel strike Gaza on February 19, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-20 14:01 | Game Handicap: L1GA (-1.5) vs Power Rangers (+1.5) | BUY | 0.3399999633 | $5.00 |
| 06-20 13:56 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL | 0.92 | $9.20 |
| 06-18 14:14 | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.61 | $3.05 |
| 06-18 14:02 | Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox | BUY | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 05-05 14:16 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.62 | $6.20 |
| 05-05 14:10 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.621 | $12.42 |
| 04-23 14:53 | Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.24 | $2.40 |
| 03-21 15:04 | Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.022 | $0.55 |
| 03-21 15:04 | Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $2.00 |
| 03-21 15:03 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.151 | $3.02 |
| 03-21 15:00 | Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7 | $7.00 |
| 03-07 00:27 | Will Israel strike Gaza on March 8, 2026? | SELL | 0.1427761725 | $6.42 |
| 03-05 08:01 | Will Israel strike Gaza on March 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 03-05 08:01 | Will Israel strike Gaza on March 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.29 |
| 03-05 07:58 | Will Israel strike Gaza on March 9, 2026? | SELL | 0.2473688889 | $11.13 |