robot0x
0x3c8654fc025a82a6874793cb8af097a4cbf0b75e
- Realised P&L
- $-4.6k
- Volume
- $233.9k
- Markets traded
- 230
- Open portfolio
- $615.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded230
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.750 | 0.925 | $313.57 | +$59.33 |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? · Anthropic | 0.660 | 0.939 | $264.66 | +$78.54 |
| U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.070 | $35.21 | −$60.36 |
| Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30? · No | 0.780 | 1.000 | $2.00 | +$0.44 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.12 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$702.46at 0.160Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score
- +$493.35at 0.130Will there be at least 600 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?
- +$466.13at 0.751Will "Elon" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
- +$382.17at 0.171Will Albin Kurti be the next Prime Minister of Kosovo?
- +$378.76at 0.660Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-21 10:45 | Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.50 |
| 04-13 05:14 | Will Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30? | SELL | 0.88 | $236.72 |
| 04-13 04:04 | Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027? | SELL | 0.82 | $756.86 |
| 04-12 19:42 | Will Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30? | BUY | 0.89 | $239.41 |
| 04-12 18:01 | Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027? | BUY | 0.81 | $747.63 |
| 04-12 16:29 | Will Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $9.89 |
| 04-12 16:28 | Will Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $22.31 |
| 04-12 16:27 | Will Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $14.26 |
| 04-12 16:04 | Will MrBeast hit 119 billion views by April 30? | SELL | 0.042 | $3.44 |
| 04-12 15:21 | Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026? | SELL | 0.6 | $45.00 |
| 04-12 10:04 | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? | SELL | 0.47 | $238.29 |
| 04-12 09:54 | Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30? | SELL | 0.821 | $664.19 |
| 04-12 09:39 | Will Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $8.05 |
| 04-12 09:38 | Will Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $22.31 |
| 04-12 09:37 | Will Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $155.94 |