sanhu1
0x3c5ebf3d811bd6bfb84672ed4ba15e226cdb148c
- Realised P&L
- $951.38
- Volume
- $106.9k
- Markets traded
- 122
- Open portfolio
- $3.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded122
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? · No | 0.956 | 0.991 | $2.1k | +$74.54 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · No | 0.959 | 0.975 | $508.39 | +$8.39 |
| China coup attempt before 2027? · No | 0.950 | 0.965 | $203.05 | +$3.05 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No | 0.921 | 0.971 | $105.37 | +$5.37 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No | 0.929 | 0.972 | $104.58 | +$4.58 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No | 0.830 | 0.960 | $11.56 | +$1.56 |
| Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government? · Yes | 0.949 | 0.956 | $10.07 | +$0.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$283.29at 0.926No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
- +$191.50at 0.967Maduro out in 2025?
- +$141.57at 0.850Will PPSO win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?
- +$69.41at 0.937Will the Liberal Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?
- +$66.54at 0.936Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 02:21 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August? | BUY | 0.99 | $12.54 |
| 07-02 10:55 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in July? | BUY | 0.8899999951 | $10.89 |
| 06-13 10:46 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.9609999999 | $200.00 |
| 05-23 10:39 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.9579999999 | $300.00 |
| 05-14 12:09 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.959 | $500.00 |
| 05-13 13:01 | Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election? | BUY | 0.9399999981 | $10.00 |
| 05-13 12:59 | Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections? | BUY | 0.9789999996 | $10.00 |
| 05-13 12:56 | Will Partido Popular (PP) win the Andalusia regional election? | BUY | 0.9939999998 | $10.00 |
| 05-13 12:11 | Will Trump Leave China on May 15? | BUY | 0.9699999331 | $10.00 |
| 05-12 04:06 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.956 | $242.10 |
| 05-11 15:28 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.9560964508 | $210.50 |
| 05-11 04:37 | Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.9739999998 | $10.00 |
| 05-07 13:01 | Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government? | BUY | 0.9489999973 | $5.00 |
| 05-07 13:00 | Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government? | BUY | 0.9489999973 | $5.00 |
| 05-05 09:30 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.9649999281 | $10.00 |