g34121
0x3c4ab547f2f63dd17a0eda38b775d28503d60be9
- Realised P&L
- $239.03
- Volume
- $13.8k
- Markets traded
- 377
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded377
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.30at 0.330UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)
- +$18.31at 0.607Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
- +$18.30at 0.003Will Charles Oliveira be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
- +$16.80at 0.440UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)
- +$14.00at 0.300Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 00:11 | Will Umar Nurmagomedov become UFC champion in 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $6.35 |
| 09-14 23:31 | Will Alexander Volkov be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.822999884 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 23:28 | Will Alexander Volkov be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.823 | $41.15 |
| 09-14 23:28 | Will Alexander Volkov be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.823 | $16.46 |
| 09-14 00:14 | Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.85 | $17.00 |
| 09-14 00:13 | Will the Liberals (L) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.11 | $2.20 |
| 09-14 00:11 | Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.85 | $4.25 |
| 09-13 23:06 | Will the Liberals (L) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.40 |
| 09-13 23:06 | Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.83 | $4.15 |
| 09-13 14:16 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.31 | $9.30 |
| 09-12 00:26 | Noche UFC: Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 09-08 22:35 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.996 | $19.92 |
| 09-08 22:34 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $18.00 |
| 09-08 22:33 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.956 | $19.11 |
| 09-08 22:31 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? | BUY | 0.96 | $28.79 |