flight8212
0x3c1d7e38cd5b336835da2e2b0143ca44f4dc380c
- Realised P&L
- $-135.12
- Volume
- $9.4k
- Markets traded
- 358
- Open portfolio
- $27.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded358
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.50at 0.220Will Sporting CP win on 2026-01-20?
- +$10.24at 0.375Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
- +$10.19at 0.090Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
- +$10.11at 0.360LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-In
- +$10.00at 0.500LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-14 17:04 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.36 | $8.96 |
| 07-14 17:04 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.425 | $3.91 |
| 07-06 19:01 | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.24 | $3.36 |
| 07-06 01:40 | Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.1 | $1.10 |
| 07-04 13:27 | Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.08 | $1.01 |
| 07-04 13:26 | Spread: Morocco (-1.5) | BUY | 0.29 | $1.71 |
| 07-02 17:48 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.2425 | $1.67 |
| 07-01 15:52 | England vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.36 | $2.92 |
| 06-29 22:02 | Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4 | $3.44 |
| 06-29 21:57 | Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4 | $3.44 |
| 06-29 21:56 | Spread: United States (-1.5) | BUY | 0.46 | $4.42 |
| 06-29 21:54 | Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | BUY | 0.29 | $2.12 |
| 06-29 21:53 | Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.42 | $3.74 |
| 06-29 21:52 | Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | BUY | 0.36 | $2.92 |
| 06-29 21:52 | Spread: France (-1.5) | BUY | 0.47 | $4.61 |