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Traders

flight8212

0x3c1d7e38cd5b336835da2e2b0143ca44f4dc380c

Realised P&L
$-135.12
Volume
$9.4k
Markets traded
358
Open portfolio
$27.92

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded358
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration6.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8380.945$11.34+$1.28
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.3200.905$6.70+$4.33
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9570.981$5.20+$0.12
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.4800.345$3.35$1.31
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0800.085$1.10+$0.06
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQe · Yes0.0230.022$0.12$0.00
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.2300.017$0.11$1.39
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.4430.000$0.00$4.12
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00$3.03
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0360.000$0.00$1.01
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? · No0.4200.000$0.00$3.74
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance · Senegal0.4000.000$0.00$3.44
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance · Mexico0.1000.000$0.00$1.10
Spread: France (-1.5) · Sweden0.4700.000$0.00$4.61
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) · Korea Republic0.3300.000$0.00$2.54

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-14 17:04Will England win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.36$8.96
07-14 17:04France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.425$3.91
07-06 19:01Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.24$3.36
07-06 01:40Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceBUY0.1$1.10
07-04 13:27Paraguay vs. France: Team to AdvanceBUY0.08$1.01
07-04 13:26Spread: Morocco (-1.5)BUY0.29$1.71
07-02 17:48Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?BUY0.2425$1.67
07-01 15:52England vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.36$2.92
06-29 22:02Spread: Argentina (-1.5)BUY0.4$3.44
06-29 21:57Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4$3.44
06-29 21:56Spread: United States (-1.5)BUY0.46$4.42
06-29 21:54Spread: Portugal (-1.5)BUY0.29$2.12
06-29 21:53Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceBUY0.42$3.74
06-29 21:52Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?BUY0.36$2.92
06-29 21:52Spread: France (-1.5)BUY0.47$4.61