winnerstar
0x3c1a7f4a1f580b2cf0e1cf46c72d3df3cfaf06ff
- Realised P&L
- $-897.53
- Volume
- $98.5k
- Markets traded
- 3,838
- Open portfolio
- $22.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,838
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.745 | $3.73 | +$0.33 |
| Celtics vs. Magic · Celtics | 0.680 | 1.000 | $1.47 | +$0.47 |
| Wizards vs. Magic · Wizards | 0.440 | 0.475 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
| Thunder vs. Cavaliers · Cavaliers | 0.600 | 0.635 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
| Suns vs. Warriors · Warriors | 0.570 | 0.595 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| Heat vs. Lakers · Lakers | 0.470 | 0.485 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| Raptors vs. Clippers · Raptors | 0.620 | 0.635 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Bulls vs. 76ers · 76ers | 0.820 | 0.835 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Celtics vs. Rockets · Celtics | 0.370 | 0.375 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Pistons vs. Hornets · Pistons | 0.620 | 0.625 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Jazz vs. Spurs · Spurs | 0.870 | 0.875 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Bucks vs. Timberwolves · Timberwolves | 0.770 | 0.765 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Pelicans vs. Grizzlies · Grizzlies | 0.680 | 0.675 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets · Trail Blazers | 0.440 | 0.435 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Hawks vs. Pacers · Hawks | 0.650 | 0.635 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$121.46at 0.273Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
- +$116.69at 0.498Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
- +$112.86at 0.429Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
- +$95.42at 0.352Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
- +$89.70at 0.129Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 05:26 | Raptors vs. Clippers | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 05:25 | Heat vs. Lakers | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 05:25 | Suns vs. Warriors | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 05:25 | Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 05:24 | Jazz vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 05:24 | Celtics vs. Rockets | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 05:24 | Bucks vs. Timberwolves | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 05:23 | Pelicans vs. Grizzlies | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 05:23 | Kings vs. Mavericks | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 05:23 | Nets vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 05:23 | Pistons vs. Hornets | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 05:22 | Bulls vs. 76ers | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 05:22 | Hawks vs. Pacers | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 05:22 | Wizards vs. Magic | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 05:21 | Thunder vs. Cavaliers | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |