0x3c07CC77b45034Bb3a497b3b17F6a0A52920dA3C-1742896296223
0x3c07cc77b45034bb3a497b3b17f6a0a52920da3c
- Realised P&L
- $-69.82
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 202
- Open portfolio
- $14.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded202
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.39at 0.168Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?
- +$21.17at 0.359Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Western Conference?
- +$17.46at 0.321Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 Internazionali BNL d'Italia?
- +$14.45at 0.217Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?
- +$11.20at 0.473Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 00:30 | Will the Parti Québécois win by between 20 and 29 seats? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:28 | Will voter turnout in the 2026 Quebec general election be 66-70%? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:27 | Will the PLQ win 28-31 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? | BUY | 0.1639999993 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:26 | Will the PQ win 55-59 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? | BUY | 0.1699999961 | $1.30 |
| 10-05 00:26 | Will the PQ win 60-64 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? | BUY | 0.2699999698 | $1.70 |
| 10-05 00:24 | Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority? | BUY | 0.6599998985 | $2.86 |
| 10-05 00:24 | Will the PCQ win 17 or more seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? | BUY | 0.5709999625 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 00:22 | Will the CAQ win 4 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? | BUY | 0.2122352866 | $1.64 |
| 10-05 00:20 | Will the CAQ win 5-9 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? | BUY | 0.1336633571 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 12:15 | Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.1139999097 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 12:12 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 12:11 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.4399999155 | $2.50 |
| 11-16 18:54 | ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner | BUY | 0.2899999275 | $2.00 |
| 11-06 23:57 | Canadiens vs. Devils | BUY | 0.4399999648 | $5.00 |
| 11-06 23:57 | Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Atlantic Division? | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |