PolyBot

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Traders

cako

0x3bcfb937b12fa296a660b1fd8f957f383e5ddc5c

Realised P&L
$-5.5k
Volume
$3.07M
Markets traded
724
Open portfolio
$398.03

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded724
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.2600.060$120.00−$400.00
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? · Yes0.6000.335$66.56−$52.65
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.5000.051$51.00−$449.00
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? · No0.9700.994$24.84+$0.59
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No0.9690.974$24.34+$0.11
Felix Protocol FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.9890.984$20.66−$0.11
Felix Protocol FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.9850.984$20.65−$0.03
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.9470.981$20.59+$0.70
Felix Protocol FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.9600.968$20.32+$0.16
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.8300.956$20.08+$2.65
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? · Yes0.3900.507$8.32+$1.93
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.9720.033$0.68−$19.73
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-22? · No0.4600.000$0.00−$2.6k
Over $140M committed to the Ranger public sale? · Yes0.0450.000$0.00−$45.00
Levante UD vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5 · Under0.3830.000$0.00−$1.7k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 20:33Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-13?BUY0.73$2.8k
09-13 20:32Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-13?BUY0.73$19.71
09-13 20:31Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-13?BUY0.73$2.5k
09-13 20:31Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-13?BUY0.72$16.67
09-13 20:11US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5BUY0.39$565.50
09-13 20:11US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5BUY0.38$76.00
09-13 16:58Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-13?BUY0.352052625$563.28
09-13 15:42Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-13?BUY0.69$1.8k
09-13 15:28Levante UD vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5BUY0.35$560.00
09-13 14:20Levante UD vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5BUY0.41$717.50
09-13 14:18Levante UD vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5BUY0.39$390.00
09-13 12:29Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-09-13?BUY0.45$1.5k
09-13 12:04RC Celta de Vigo vs. Málaga CF: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.52$1.1k
09-13 12:03RC Celta de Vigo vs. Málaga CF: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.51$510.00
09-13 10:05Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-13?BUY0.7$59.50