PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Celestinebay

0x3bc42c7139adff8251c04d72b57fdbcf7f8d116e

Realised P&L
$-4.6k
Volume
$10.1k
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$31.85

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-45.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration80.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8300.835$10.06+$0.06
UFC 331: Giga Chikadze vs. Joanderson Brito (Featherweight, Early Prelims) · Joanderson Brito0.7760.765$8.88$0.12
UFC 331: Michael Aswell vs. JooSang Yoo (Featherweight, Prelims) · JooSang Yoo0.7240.695$6.91$0.29
UFC 331: Edmen Shahbazyan vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Early Prelims) · Edmen Shahbazyan0.6300.595$6.01$0.35
Spread: Rockets (-3.5) · 76ers0.5210.000$0.00$20.53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 8? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$1.00
Spread: Pistons (-8.5) · Kings0.5100.000$0.00$1.2k
Will France win on 2026-07-18? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$15.00
Magic vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 233.5 · Over0.4800.000$0.00$3.4k
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes · Nebraska Cornhuskers0.5430.000$0.00$5.41

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 09:20UFC 331: Michael Aswell vs. JooSang Yoo (Featherweight, Prelims)BUY0.7243946575$7.20
09-14 09:20UFC 331: Giga Chikadze vs. Joanderson Brito (Featherweight, Early Prelims)BUY0.7756134715$9.00
09-14 09:19UFC 331: Edmen Shahbazyan vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Early Prelims)BUY0.6299999693$6.36
07-17 11:21Will France win on 2026-07-18?BUY0.5$15.00
06-08 07:33Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.8299999967$10.00
06-08 07:33Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 8?BUY0.002$1.00
05-13 03:41Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 13?BUY0.8299999978$15.00
05-13 03:32Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ETBUY0.4799999808$5.00
04-25 19:49Spread: Thunder (-8.5)BUY0.4899999953$28.11
04-09 12:34Spread: Rockets (-3.5)BUY0.49$19.00
03-26 14:42Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa HawkeyesBUY0.54$5.35
03-10 13:08Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?BUY0.9909999011$6.00
03-10 13:07X banned in U.K. by March 31?BUY0.9859999975$4.00
03-10 13:07Will Elon Musk be richest person on March 31?BUY0.988999999$5.00
03-10 13:06Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY0.7619999238$7.00