feira8
0x3bba8018d1990c75af113fd9c2d826a7e444a2ea
- Realised P&L
- $-2.2k
- Volume
- $422.7k
- Markets traded
- 3,585
- Open portfolio
- $33.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,585
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration9.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · No | 0.961 | 0.996 | $15.54 | +$0.54 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.725 | $7.25 | −$0.15 |
| BC Batumi 2010 vs. CSM Oradea · CSM Oradea | 0.880 | 0.905 | $5.14 | +$0.14 |
| Alba Berlin vs. Chemnitz 99 · Alba Berlin | 0.800 | 0.765 | $4.78 | −$0.22 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.016 | $0.53 | −$4.47 |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5 · Over | 0.730 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| VEF Riga vs. Dziki Warszawa · VEF Riga | 0.499 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.00 |
| Washington Mystics vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 167.5 · Under | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5 · Over | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Connecticut Sun vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 167.5 · Over | 0.790 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$281.90at 0.050Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 207.5
- +$211.08at 0.494Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5
- +$209.35at 0.605Spread: New Zealand (-39.5)
- +$131.44at 0.742Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 161.5
- +$130.90at 0.803Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 198.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 16:37 | BC Batumi 2010 vs. CSM Oradea | BUY | 0.8799999859 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 16:37 | Alba Berlin vs. Chemnitz 99 | BUY | 0.8 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 03:45 | Las Vegas Aces vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 175.5 | SELL | 0.01 | $0.14 |
| 09-18 03:32 | Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-9.5) | BUY | 0.95 | $7.60 |
| 09-18 02:41 | Las Vegas Aces vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 175.5 | BUY | 0.7399999896 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 02:38 | Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-8.5) | BUY | 0.8118811841 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 02:23 | Los Angeles Sparks vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 177.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $31.29 |
| 09-18 01:53 | Los Angeles Sparks vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 177.5 | BUY | 0.7899999974 | $24.74 |
| 09-18 01:50 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.149999997 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 01:49 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.019 | $0.44 |
| 09-18 01:48 | Spread: Washington Mystics (-1.5) | SELL | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 09-18 01:21 | Connecticut Sun vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 167.5 | BUY | 0.7899999289 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 01:15 | Spread: Washington Mystics (-1.5) | BUY | 0.95 | $19.00 |
| 09-18 00:31 | Los Angeles Sparks vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 177.5 | SELL | 0.17 | $3.47 |
| 09-18 00:05 | Los Angeles Sparks vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 177.5 | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $10.00 |