PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

fdhgetrh

0x3bb2a1beee29e5d0a1f5aace5ddb5f232e0050e9

Realised P&L
$-4.53
Volume
$7.4k
Markets traded
96
Open portfolio
$13.98

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded96
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration86.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? · No0.9990.999$12.09−$0.01
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw? · No0.7500.745$1.89−$0.01
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.20
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 5? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$3.40
Israel strikes Iran by September 30? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00−$1.50
Cardinals vs. Giants · Cardinals0.4700.000$0.00−$4.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 13:06Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.999$12.10
10-08 12:59Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?BUY0.7499998026$1.90
09-25 09:32Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.999$12.00
09-25 09:29Spread: Texans (-1.5)BUY0.5$1.00
07-30 06:44Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?BUY0.999$13.00
06-06 02:22Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 June 1-7?BUY0.999$105.00
05-25 12:40Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?BUY0.999$105.00
05-21 10:56Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 22?BUY0.999$105.00
05-15 11:03Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 15?BUY0.9989999915$105.00
05-15 11:03Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?BUY0.001$1.20
05-10 06:51Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?BUY0.999$101.00
05-10 06:51Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C or higher on May 10?BUY0.9989994621$1.30
05-10 06:50Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on May 10?BUY0.999$1.30
05-10 06:50Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 10?BUY0.998$1.10
05-10 06:49Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 10?BUY0.997999392$1.30