PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

CryptoNauty

0x3b97b5a825987ac9ad07ba8e096aa2abc9956643

Realised P&L
$-173.03
Volume
$12.1k
Markets traded
247
Open portfolio
$3.70

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded247
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration61.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will any former NBA player be drafted in the 2027 WNBA Draft? · Yes0.0680.054$1.58−$0.42
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1360.024$1.38−$6.62
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.3100.085$0.55−$1.45
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1190.022$0.19−$0.81

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-10 22:04Will Enes Kanter Freedom be drafted in the 2027 WNBA Draft?BUY0.08$5.00
08-10 22:03Will any former NBA player be drafted in the 2027 WNBA Draft?BUY0.0682926518$2.00
03-03 03:28Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?BUY0.1$4.00
03-03 03:26Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?BUY0.089999919$1.00
03-03 03:25Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?SELL0.998$10.50
02-28 16:13Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.1189999$1.00
02-28 16:12Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?BUY0.1399999426$2.00
02-28 16:10US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?BUY0.0744768005$5.00
02-28 16:10Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.4399999648$5.00
01-25 16:46Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.1899999373$2.00
01-25 16:43Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?BUY0.008$1.00
01-23 20:05Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.1399999787$5.00
01-23 20:04Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 2 hours and 15 minutes and 2 hours and 30 minutes?BUY0.05$1.00
01-23 20:03Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 2 hours and 2 hours and 15 minutes?BUY0.0909999255$1.00
01-23 20:01Will Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31?BUY0.0729999669$2.00