Stevenolson7
0x3b8b46e8176443edd286ae46f8b23751a6c6b164
- Realised P&L
- $22.53
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $68.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.00at 0.120MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
- +$8.80at 0.560Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$6.90at 0.420Canada recession before 2027?
- +$6.80at 0.320Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
- +$6.80at 0.250Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-12 16:22 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $9.67 |
| 06-19 20:39 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | BUY | 0.38 | $3.80 |
| 06-19 20:32 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.55 | $2.75 |
| 06-02 18:57 | Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.07 | $7.00 |
| 06-02 18:57 | Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.067 | $6.70 |
| 06-02 18:56 | Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.044 | $4.40 |
| 06-01 17:47 | Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.0%? | BUY | 0.56 | $5.60 |
| 06-01 17:45 | Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $6.00 |
| 06-01 17:45 | Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 06-01 17:44 | Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30? | BUY | 0.32 | $3.20 |
| 06-01 17:41 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BUY | 0.23 | $4.60 |
| 05-29 17:01 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $6.40 |
| 04-07 19:29 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? | BUY | 0.16 | $8.00 |
| 04-03 18:22 | Will Alberta join the US? | BUY | 0.9752607518 | $20.00 |
| 04-03 18:21 | Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026? | BUY | 0.2029455973 | $10.00 |