PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Stevenolson7

0x3b8b46e8176443edd286ae46f8b23751a6c6b164

Realised P&L
$22.53
Volume
$1.3k
Markets traded
32
Open portfolio
$68.29

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded32
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Fed rate hike in 2026? · Yes0.3200.675$13.50+$7.10
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0700.075$7.50+$0.50
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0670.069$6.85+$0.15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · No0.5501.000$5.00+$2.25
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.1630.153$4.71$0.29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.1900.435$4.35+$2.45
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? · Yes0.1000.038$3.85$6.15
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0440.037$3.75$0.65
Will USD/CAD hit 1.60 (High) in 2026? · Yes0.0700.070$3.50+$0.00
Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.0%? · Yes0.5600.265$2.65$2.95
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? · Yes0.7650.231$2.31$5.34
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? · Yes0.1200.040$2.00$4.00
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? · Yes0.3800.175$1.75$2.05
Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026? · Yes0.2030.035$1.70$8.30
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December? · Yes0.1100.080$1.60$0.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-12 16:22Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?SELL0.87$9.67
06-19 20:39Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?BUY0.38$3.80
06-19 20:32Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.55$2.75
06-02 18:57Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.07$7.00
06-02 18:57Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.067$6.70
06-02 18:56Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.044$4.40
06-01 17:47Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.0%?BUY0.56$5.60
06-01 17:45Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?BUY0.12$6.00
06-01 17:45Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?BUY0.32$1.60
06-01 17:44Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?BUY0.32$3.20
06-01 17:41Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?BUY0.23$4.60
05-29 17:01Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.32$6.40
04-07 19:29Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?BUY0.16$8.00
04-03 18:22Will Alberta join the US? BUY0.9752607518$20.00
04-03 18:21Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026?BUY0.2029455973$10.00