0x3b82bb0bf44c17dc13e402b67f6e6af3d21d674b
0x3b82bb0bf44c17dc13e402b67f6e6af3d21d674b
- Realised P&L
- $19.73
- Volume
- $31.0k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $182.55
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.069 | 0.019 | $84.92 | −$215.07 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.182 | 0.183 | $80.75 | +$0.75 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.242 | 0.204 | $16.88 | −$3.12 |
| Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.103 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$70.00 |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.068 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$281.33at 0.156US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$50.45at 0.296Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?
- +$44.06at 0.266Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?
- +$27.63at 0.434Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?
- +$24.00at 0.500Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-26 01:34 | Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.2299999869 | $10.00 |
| 06-26 01:34 | Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $15.00 |
| 06-26 01:33 | Will Australia win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.2299999869 | $10.00 |
| 06-26 01:33 | Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.4099999947 | $20.00 |
| 06-26 01:32 | Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw? | SELL | 0.23 | $60.98 |
| 06-26 01:31 | Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2399999918 | $20.00 |
| 06-26 00:41 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.1589999886 | $10.00 |
| 06-25 23:01 | Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2789999931 | $20.00 |
| 06-25 23:01 | Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.328999992 | $20.00 |
| 06-25 22:59 | Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2199999936 | $20.00 |
| 06-25 22:59 | Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2199999936 | $20.00 |
| 06-25 22:59 | Will Tunisia vs. Netherlands end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 06-25 22:57 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.044 | $14.19 |
| 06-24 03:58 | Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? | SELL | 0.999 | $51.67 |
| 06-24 03:35 | Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |