PolyBot

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Traders

0x3b82bb0bf44c17dc13e402b67f6e6af3d21d674b

0x3b82bb0bf44c17dc13e402b67f6e6af3d21d674b

Realised P&L
$19.73
Volume
$31.0k
Markets traded
27
Open portfolio
$182.55

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded27
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration63.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0690.019$84.92−$215.07
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1820.183$80.75+$0.75
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2420.204$16.88−$3.12
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1030.000$0.00−$70.00
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0680.000$0.00−$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-26 01:34Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.2299999869$10.00
06-26 01:34Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?BUY0.25$15.00
06-26 01:33Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.2299999869$10.00
06-26 01:33Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?BUY0.4099999947$20.00
06-26 01:32Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?SELL0.23$60.98
06-26 01:31Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?BUY0.2399999918$20.00
06-26 00:41Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.1589999886$10.00
06-25 23:01Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?BUY0.2789999931$20.00
06-25 23:01Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.328999992$20.00
06-25 22:59Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?BUY0.2199999936$20.00
06-25 22:59Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?BUY0.2199999936$20.00
06-25 22:59Will Tunisia vs. Netherlands end in a draw?BUY0.1$10.00
06-25 22:57Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.044$14.19
06-24 03:58Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?SELL0.999$51.67
06-24 03:35Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23?BUY0.08$10.00