PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x3b300a916331c4D7D65D50F378Dcb02b3c5D100F-1768576368306

0x3b300a916331c4d7d65d50f378dcb02b3c5d100f

Realised P&L
$-546.55
Volume
$26.3k
Markets traded
832
Open portfolio
$319.22

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded832
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by October 15, 2026? · No0.6300.685$24.38+$1.96
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? · No0.6700.735$23.28+$2.06
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? · No0.6300.645$23.19+$0.54
Will Mina the Hollower win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards? · No0.6300.655$22.27+$0.85
Will Jynxzi Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award? · No0.6000.595$22.20−$0.19
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? · No0.6600.635$20.90−$0.82
Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting? · No0.6000.555$20.58−$1.67
Will Arknights: Endfield win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards? · No0.6300.625$20.44−$0.16
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%? · No0.6100.535$20.21−$2.83
Will the Bank of Korea hold at the November 2026 meeting? · No0.6000.585$20.05−$0.51
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Game Direction at the 2026 Game Awards? · No0.6390.592$18.51−$1.47
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement? · No0.6800.560$18.44−$3.95
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? · No0.6600.525$17.70−$4.55
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement? · No0.6600.505$17.25−$5.29
Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026? · No0.6000.415$15.39−$6.86

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 22:00Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?BUY0.6299999992$22.65
09-30 21:22Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?SELL0.75$24.45
09-30 03:00Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by October 15, 2026?BUY0.6299999927$22.42
09-30 02:08Will Connie Chan win the CA-11 House seat?SELL0.7028876697$24.34
09-29 19:00Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?BUY0.6599999941$22.25
09-29 06:00Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.5999999946$22.25
09-28 22:00Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 15, 2026?BUY0.6599999941$22.25
09-28 18:00Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?BUY0.5999999892$22.25
09-28 14:00Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in September?BUY0.7074484954$22.25
09-28 00:02Will Emerson Nolasco Delgado win the next Huancayo mayoral elections?SELL0.63$23.00
09-27 20:08Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in September?SELL0.81$28.11
09-27 15:32Will Hungary win 2026-27 Nations League Group B2?SELL0.82$0.01
09-27 15:30Will Hungary win 2026-27 Nations League Group B2?SELL0.8314041$29.61
09-27 15:04Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards?SELL0.7215165302$23.79
09-27 04:00Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in September?BUY0.6499999942$22.55