0xStj
0x3b088277755bdfd27abd874c15170c715cae2c15
- Realised P&L
- $532.80
- Volume
- $48.3k
- Markets traded
- 123
- Open portfolio
- $5.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded123
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ostium FDV above $75M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.070 | $3.36 | −$20.64 |
| Ostium FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.498 | 0.065 | $2.61 | −$17.39 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$88.52at 0.667T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Nepal vs Hong Kong, China
- +$61.98at 0.893ICC T20 World Cup, Women: New Zealand vs Sri Lanka
- +$50.82at 0.797T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Indonesia vs Oman
- +$42.16at 0.867ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan
- +$38.35at 0.886ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-22 10:59 | Will India win? | BUY | 0.6899999869 | $10.00 |
| 07-09 04:25 | Ostium FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.45 | $22.50 |
| 06-28 16:09 | ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs India | SELL | 0.3760522534 | $28.79 |
| 06-28 15:14 | ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs India | BUY | 0.6199999911 | $25.00 |
| 06-27 19:43 | ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs India | BUY | 0.6899999925 | $25.00 |
| 06-27 19:38 | ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs New Zealand | SELL | 0.84 | $53.84 |
| 06-26 04:44 | ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs New Zealand | BUY | 0.7799999978 | $50.00 |
| 06-25 14:21 | Ostium FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4985268531 | $20.00 |
| 06-25 14:20 | Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.68 | $20.30 |
| 06-24 19:57 | ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs West Indies | SELL | 0.985 | $412.57 |
| 06-24 18:33 | ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs West Indies | BUY | 0.9499999986 | $200.00 |
| 06-24 18:24 | ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs West Indies | BUY | 0.96 | $200.00 |
| 06-23 20:09 | ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs Pakistan | SELL | 0.999 | $619.85 |
| 06-23 15:35 | ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs Pakistan | BUY | 0.9669999999 | $600.00 |
| 06-23 11:00 | ICC T20 World Cup, Women: New Zealand vs Scotland | SELL | 0.090759676 | $5.04 |