PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xStj

0x3b088277755bdfd27abd874c15170c715cae2c15

Realised P&L
$532.80
Volume
$48.3k
Markets traded
123
Open portfolio
$5.97

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded123
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ostium FDV above $75M one day after launch? · Yes0.5000.070$3.36$20.64
Ostium FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.4980.065$2.61$17.39

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-22 10:59Will India win?BUY0.6899999869$10.00
07-09 04:25Ostium FDV above $50M one day after launch?SELL0.45$22.50
06-28 16:09ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs IndiaSELL0.3760522534$28.79
06-28 15:14ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs IndiaBUY0.6199999911$25.00
06-27 19:43ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs IndiaBUY0.6899999925$25.00
06-27 19:38ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs New ZealandSELL0.84$53.84
06-26 04:44ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs New ZealandBUY0.7799999978$50.00
06-25 14:21Ostium FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.4985268531$20.00
06-25 14:20Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.68$20.30
06-24 19:57ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs West IndiesSELL0.985$412.57
06-24 18:33ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs West IndiesBUY0.9499999986$200.00
06-24 18:24ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs West IndiesBUY0.96$200.00
06-23 20:09ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs PakistanSELL0.999$619.85
06-23 15:35ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs PakistanBUY0.9669999999$600.00
06-23 11:00ICC T20 World Cup, Women: New Zealand vs ScotlandSELL0.090759676$5.04