strtedfromtheb10
0x3b068bd2ee6ac21e1fc41dfa2993951371099b69
- Realised P&L
- $-2.9k
- Volume
- $187.3k
- Markets traded
- 48
- Open portfolio
- $744.81
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded48
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration79.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.14at 0.050Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in June?
- +$0.55at 0.220US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
- +$-1.24at 0.004Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
- +$-1.76at 0.160Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$-2.00at 0.039Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-14 04:52 | Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.33 |
| 07-14 04:52 | Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.27 |
| 07-14 04:51 | Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.006 | $5.33 |
| 07-14 04:50 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $20.00 |
| 07-14 04:50 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $20.00 |
| 07-14 04:50 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $100.00 |
| 07-14 04:49 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $80.00 |
| 07-14 04:49 | Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | BUY | 0.042 | $46.16 |
| 07-14 04:49 | Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | BUY | 0.041 | $66.71 |
| 07-14 04:49 | Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | BUY | 0.04 | $12.00 |
| 07-14 04:48 | Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | BUY | 0.039 | $0.78 |
| 07-14 04:48 | Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | BUY | 0.038 | $1.14 |
| 07-14 00:49 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $50.00 |
| 06-22 21:40 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.1399999827 | $6.00 |
| 06-22 21:39 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.14 | $28.00 |