PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

strtedfromtheb10

0x3b068bd2ee6ac21e1fc41dfa2993951371099b69

Realised P&L
$-2.9k
Volume
$187.3k
Markets traded
48
Open portfolio
$744.81

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded48
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration79.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration69.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1560.175$516.57+$55.69
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.1020.045$171.40−$215.56
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0090.004$45.24−$42.77
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · Yes0.0700.029$11.60−$16.40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 29? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00−$56.98
Iran coup attempt by June 30? · Yes0.0580.000$0.00−$113.03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 1? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00−$8.34
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? · No0.0240.000$0.00−$0.60
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 6? · Yes0.0470.000$0.00−$1.31
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 29? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00−$10.83
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 8? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00−$6.96
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 31? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00−$47.60
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 31? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00−$5.63
Indiana Fever vs. Golden State Valkyries · Indiana Fever0.0110.000$0.00−$3.92
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00−$396.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-14 04:52Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.006$1.33
07-14 04:52Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.006$1.27
07-14 04:51Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.006$5.33
07-14 04:50Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.1$20.00
07-14 04:50Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.1$20.00
07-14 04:50Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.1$100.00
07-14 04:49Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.1$80.00
07-14 04:49Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?BUY0.042$46.16
07-14 04:49Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?BUY0.041$66.71
07-14 04:49Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?BUY0.04$12.00
07-14 04:48Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?BUY0.039$0.78
07-14 04:48Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?BUY0.038$1.14
07-14 00:49Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.1$50.00
06-22 21:40Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.1399999827$6.00
06-22 21:39Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.14$28.00