Johnsansculotte
0x3afef976a5d031b351da42c0ad0ff1f13c1d01d4
- Realised P&L
- $3.6k
- Volume
- $629.4k
- Markets traded
- 98
- Open portfolio
- $25.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded98
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.0kat 0.610Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$845.36at 0.840Will Guilherme Boulos win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?
- +$315.00at 0.880Will Arsenal win the UEFA Champions League?
- +$146.61at 0.402US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$93.93at 0.191Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 18:03 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5377113447 | $1.5k |
| 09-16 17:52 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.537 | $1.0k |
| 09-15 22:03 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.527 | $263.50 |
| 09-15 21:58 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.523 | $220.43 |
| 09-11 18:35 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.58 | $580.00 |
| 09-11 18:34 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.58 | $643.79 |
| 09-11 17:45 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.532135965 | $2.1k |
| 09-11 15:07 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.56 | $5.4k |
| 09-11 02:58 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.52 | $51.99 |
| 09-11 02:36 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.528 | $5.28 |
| 09-11 02:35 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.528 | $44.29 |
| 09-11 02:34 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.54 | $512.99 |
| 09-11 02:32 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.525 | $630.00 |
| 09-10 12:42 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.53 | $1.0k |
| 09-10 12:02 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.474 | $81.55 |