PolyBot

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Traders

Johnsansculotte

0x3afef976a5d031b351da42c0ad0ff1f13c1d01d4

Realised P&L
$3.6k
Volume
$629.4k
Markets traded
98
Open portfolio
$25.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded98
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration68.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.4370.555$17.2k+$3.7k
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4930.542$7.5k+$682.28
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? · Yes0.0490.107$322.50+$175.59
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0080.002$36.38$155.60
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0150.003$19.55$101.60
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0230.001$14.12$633.45
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0040.002$7.11$13.76
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0380.001$5.86$439.34
Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0040.001$4.62$29.31
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0580.001$4.23$484.94
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0060.001$3.18$36.60
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027? · Yes0.2000.076$1.37$2.23
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0290.001$1.05$61.03
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the September meeting? · Yes0.1250.000$0.00$38.45
Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open? · Yes0.1160.000$0.00$5.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 18:03Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.5377113447$1.5k
09-16 17:52Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.537$1.0k
09-15 22:03Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.527$263.50
09-15 21:58Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.523$220.43
09-11 18:35Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.58$580.00
09-11 18:34Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.58$643.79
09-11 17:45Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.532135965$2.1k
09-11 15:07Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.56$5.4k
09-11 02:58Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.52$51.99
09-11 02:36Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.528$5.28
09-11 02:35Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.528$44.29
09-11 02:34Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.54$512.99
09-11 02:32Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.525$630.00
09-10 12:42Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.53$1.0k
09-10 12:02Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.474$81.55