PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

efef94

0x3ad06c0442a788da3a36fa56faab12471bd71153

Realised P&L
$-93.26
Volume
$139.8k
Markets traded
431
Open portfolio
$91.59

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded431
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 17:25Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?BUY0.1549957336$5.00
07-28 17:05Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?BUY0.0140326259$1.00
07-26 12:49Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?BUY0.0082263151$1.00
07-26 12:48Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?BUY0.0588235294$5.00
07-25 09:57Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?BUY0.034881805$5.00
07-25 09:57Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?BUY0.6310453819$19.00
07-19 09:23Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 19?BUY0.9489999973$5.00
07-18 09:04Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 19?BUY0.92$50.00
07-14 17:07Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?BUY0.001$1.00
07-02 16:28Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?BUY0.5074999886$5.00
07-02 16:27Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?BUY0.1199999808$5.00
07-02 16:26Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30?BUY0.359999977$5.00
07-02 16:26Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?BUY0.32$5.00
07-02 16:26Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?BUY0.281583452$10.00
07-02 16:25Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?BUY0.4699999887$5.00