PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

udgb

0x3acb37824f60926c2debda2de29c3a28a8f44bd2

Realised P&L
$124.77
Volume
$10.5k
Markets traded
54
Open portfolio
$49.25

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded54
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration95.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9830.998$33.28+$0.48
Will Sui reach $3.00 before 2027? · No0.9960.909$13.69−$1.31
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026? · No0.8801.000$1.23+$0.15
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in August? · No0.9971.000$1.05+$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 11:21Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?BUY0.8799999348$1.08
08-03 11:20Will Sui reach $3.00 before 2027?BUY0.996$15.00
08-03 11:19Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in August?BUY0.997$1.05
07-09 16:56Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 10?BUY0.99$1.48
07-09 16:56Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 10?BUY0.999$1.03
07-09 16:56Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on July 10?BUY0.9979992901$1.06
07-09 16:55Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on July 10?BUY0.999$1.07
07-09 16:55Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on July 11?BUY0.998$1.11
07-09 16:55Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 11?BUY0.9969999991$1.15
07-09 16:55Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 11?BUY0.979$1.12
07-09 16:55Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 11?BUY0.9929999982$1.11
07-09 16:55Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 11?BUY0.9969999991$1.12
07-09 16:55Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on July 11?BUY0.9979994611$1.10
07-09 16:54Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on July 11?BUY0.9979995019$1.11
07-09 16:54Will XRP dip to $1.00 on July 9?BUY0.99$1.15