dalbaebka
0x3a9b292f2b52d70b5af79bb7e542463dce4b5e0d
- Realised P&L
- $-300.48
- Volume
- $8.2k
- Markets traded
- 169
- Open portfolio
- $28.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded169
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.65at 0.620Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-30?
- +$23.53at 0.680Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-30?
- +$16.42at 0.220Will Everton win on 2025-05-10?
- +$14.00at 0.100Will Everton win on 2025-05-25?
- +$13.76at 0.472Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 20:56 | Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 19:48 | Will the biggest earthquake on October 28, 2026 be 6.1 or more? | BUY | 0.8514851266 | $5.00 |
| 10-28 19:14 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8369999548 | $2.00 |
| 10-28 19:14 | Next James Bond announced by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999782 | $2.00 |
| 10-28 19:13 | Will Turkey rejoin the F-35 program by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $2.00 |
| 10-28 19:12 | Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8299999792 | $2.00 |
| 10-28 19:11 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2330096906 | $2.00 |
| 10-28 14:03 | Will the biggest earthquake on October 28, 2026 be 5.9 to 6.0? | BUY | 0.81 | $3.00 |
| 10-27 23:26 | Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 23:25 | Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 23:20 | Will Trump and Putin not meet? | SELL | 0.8056689342 | $7.11 |
| 10-26 21:01 | Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.5599999642 | $5.00 |
| 10-24 23:32 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $3.00 |
| 10-18 19:44 | Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 19:43 | Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.599999976 | $5.00 |