PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x3a800e25603c839bcd6f3bd28209d05b8594eda4

Realised P&L
$15.52
Volume
$293.77
Markets traded
66
Open portfolio
$17.41

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded66
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? · No0.2601.000$7.69+$5.69
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No0.5000.915$2.80+$1.27
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · No0.7400.982$2.67+$0.66
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes0.4500.500$2.22+$0.22
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Yes0.3000.305$2.03+$0.03
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · Yes0.4600.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 12:23Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.299999985$2.00
09-17 04:04Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.4599999034$2.00
09-17 03:57Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.4499999438$2.00
09-15 19:30Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?BUY0.2599999896$2.00
09-13 00:10Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?BUY0.6099999116$2.00
09-12 13:58Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.75$2.00
09-12 04:18Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.2799999664$2.00
09-11 05:13Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in August?BUY0.4899999584$2.00
09-10 21:06Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?BUY0.7299999087$2.00
09-09 00:43Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?BUY0.7199999424$2.00
09-07 16:07Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $256 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.78$2.00
09-07 07:43Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5199999896$2.00
09-03 21:56Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?BUY0.34999993$2.00
09-03 07:57Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or more in August?BUY0.6499999025$2.00
09-02 20:54Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5399999784$2.00