PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

h123.

0x3a6feb7a0293f44322f22d74e5c8e5a6f04c0c8b

Realised P&L
$70.49
Volume
$25.0k
Markets traded
137
Open portfolio
$0.28

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded137
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 26, 2026? · Yes0.0150.001$0.10$2.90
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 28, 2026? · Yes0.0120.001$0.09$1.91
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 27, 2026? · Yes0.0170.001$0.06$1.94
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026? · No0.2500.001$0.03$15.65
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on August 5? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$0.68
Erling Haaland: 1+ shots · No0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Solana Up or Down - September 18, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET · Down0.0070.000$0.00$0.80
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on August 20? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$13.09
Solana Up or Down - September 20, 4AM ET · Up0.0590.000$0.00$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on September 8? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00$8.00
Will England win? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on August 8? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$1.00
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kings · Chennai Super Kings0.2860.000$0.00$12.00
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on September 9? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on August 17? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 10:42Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?BUY0.25$15.68
09-21 22:56Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 26, 2026?BUY0.011$1.00
09-21 10:36Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 28, 2026?BUY0.0117062093$2.00
09-21 10:35Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 27, 2026?BUY0.0173076922$2.00
09-21 10:34Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 26, 2026?BUY0.0177758649$2.00
09-20 08:46Solana Up or Down - September 20, 4AM ETBUY0.0587314013$5.00
09-18 09:24Australia Tour of Zimbabwe ODIs: Zimbabwe vs AustraliaBUY0.025$10.00
09-18 07:49Solana Up or Down - September 18, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETBUY0.0072727273$0.80
09-17 17:53Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 1PM ETBUY0.01$1.00
09-17 11:59Solana Up or Down - September 17, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETSELL0.96$28.80
09-17 11:53Solana Up or Down - September 17, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETBUY0.011$0.33
09-17 11:15Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on September 17?SELL0.12$0.56
09-17 10:59Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on September 17?SELL0.11$1.00
09-17 10:57Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on September 17?SELL0.1735372849$2.72
09-17 08:44Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on September 17?SELL0.1982712986$2.40