0x264379C47E653dafa153841a995Cf975B6a02fxo
0x3a55b0c45449b955e43ec10734bd988bb5d1394e
- Realised P&L
- $-95.6k
- Volume
- $9.50M
- Markets traded
- 913
- Open portfolio
- $235.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded913
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.500 | 0.792 | $162.5k | +$60.0k |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.207 | $42.5k | −$60.0k |
| Will Erick Visconde win by KO or TKO? · No | 0.536 | 0.735 | $20.7k | +$5.6k |
| Will Ilias Bulaid win by KO or TKO? · No | 0.518 | 0.630 | $4.6k | +$813.58 |
| Will the fight be won by submission? · No | 0.546 | 0.705 | $3.6k | +$810.56 |
| Will Alexandre Pantoja become UFC champion in 2026? · No | 0.980 | 0.993 | $1.2k | +$14.86 |
| Will Deiveson Figueiredo become UFC champion in 2026? · No | 0.971 | 0.565 | $32.24 | −$23.14 |
| Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.043 | $5.60 | +$2.38 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$42.1kat 0.152Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor
- +$22.7kat 0.582Celtics vs. Nuggets
- +$21.0kat 0.580UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)
- +$13.7kat 0.850Will Emeka Egbuka be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?
- +$12.1kat 0.230WTA Finals, Serena Williams Group: Elena Rybakina vs Madison Keys
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 08:33 | Will Ilias Bulaid win by KO or TKO? | SELL | 0.6159884161 | $1.6k |
| 09-30 04:19 | Will Ilias Bulaid win by KO or TKO? | SELL | 0.6 | $300.00 |
| 09-30 00:02 | Will Erick Visconde win by KO or TKO? | BUY | 0.53 | $10.6k |
| 09-30 00:01 | Will Ilias Bulaid win by KO or TKO? | BUY | 0.5199751311 | $2.1k |
| 09-29 23:58 | Will Erick Visconde win by KO or TKO? | BUY | 0.58 | $761.72 |
| 09-29 21:56 | Will Ilias Bulaid win by KO or TKO? | BUY | 0.4783333333 | $172.20 |
| 09-29 21:54 | Will Erick Visconde win by KO or TKO? | BUY | 0.539957034 | $2.2k |
| 09-29 21:53 | Will Erick Visconde win by KO or TKO? | BUY | 0.54 | $1.6k |
| 09-29 21:53 | Will the fight be won by submission? | BUY | 0.5798870673 | $1.5k |
| 09-29 21:51 | Will Erick Visconde win by KO or TKO? | BUY | 0.5592962256 | $574.65 |
| 09-29 21:50 | Will Erick Visconde win by KO or TKO? | BUY | 0.54 | $543.56 |
| 09-29 21:49 | Will Erick Visconde win by KO or TKO? | BUY | 0.5595421245 | $122.20 |
| 09-29 21:49 | Will Erick Visconde win by KO or TKO? | BUY | 0.56 | $828.42 |
| 09-29 21:49 | Will Erick Visconde win by KO or TKO? | BUY | 0.5457990194 | $3.3k |
| 09-29 21:48 | Will Erick Visconde win by KO or TKO? | BUY | 0.5516898172 | $3.3k |