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Traders

0x3A2AacDF628833d128bd7265083dB821969bADc0-1731004663327

0x3a2aacdf628833d128bd7265083db821969badc0

Realised P&L
$-70.63
Volume
$2.3k
Markets traded
41
Open portfolio
$3.55

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded41
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration48.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than 7M ETH before 2027? · Yes0.0740.170$2.28+$1.28
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? · Yes0.3500.120$0.69−$1.31
Will United Stables hit $3B in 2026? · Yes0.2300.080$0.40−$0.75
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2100.035$0.16−$0.84
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0310.001$0.02−$0.98
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting? · No0.0800.000$0.00−$1.00
Shanghai Sharks vs. Guangdong Southern Tigers · Guangdong Southern Tigers0.2400.000$0.00−$2.00
Warriors vs. Trail Blazers · Warriors0.3000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00−$5.00
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.0330.000$0.00−$1.00
Ethereum flipped in 2026? · No0.5000.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0890.000$0.00−$8.00
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00−$1.91
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0460.000$0.00−$4.00
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00−$8.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-22 09:50Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.0899999919$10.00
04-01 06:41Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?BUY0.157$12.00
03-23 10:08Shanghai Sharks vs. Guangdong Southern TigersBUY0.2399999184$2.00
03-17 18:24Tianjin Pioneers vs. Shenzhen LeopardsBUY0.5799997332$2.00
03-17 18:22Liaoning Flying Leopards vs. Guangzhou Loong LionsBUY0.34999993$2.00
03-07 01:07Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?BUY0.0325389685$1.00
03-06 23:33Ethereum flipped in 2026?BUY0.5$5.00
03-06 23:32Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than 7M ETH before 2027?BUY0.0744186047$1.00
03-06 23:27Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?BUY0.34999993$2.00
03-06 23:24Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2099998677$1.00
03-06 23:17Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.0310498739$1.00
03-06 23:14Will United Stables hit $3B in 2026?BUY0.23$1.15
12-09 21:05Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?SELL0.994$22.84
12-09 21:05No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?SELL0.973$12.97
12-09 21:04Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?SELL0.966$13.41
Trader 0x3A2AacDF628833d128bd7265083dB821969bADc0-1731004663327 · PolyBot Pro