0x3A2AacDF628833d128bd7265083dB821969bADc0-1731004663327
0x3a2aacdf628833d128bd7265083db821969badc0
- Realised P&L
- $-70.63
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $3.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.85at 0.350Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?
- +$10.50at 0.020Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 40% and 60% on August 15?
- +$5.61at 0.410Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$4.80at 0.510Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
- +$4.46at 0.122Will 10-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-22 09:50 | Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0899999919 | $10.00 |
| 04-01 06:41 | Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | BUY | 0.157 | $12.00 |
| 03-23 10:08 | Shanghai Sharks vs. Guangdong Southern Tigers | BUY | 0.2399999184 | $2.00 |
| 03-17 18:24 | Tianjin Pioneers vs. Shenzhen Leopards | BUY | 0.5799997332 | $2.00 |
| 03-17 18:22 | Liaoning Flying Leopards vs. Guangzhou Loong Lions | BUY | 0.34999993 | $2.00 |
| 03-07 01:07 | Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.0325389685 | $1.00 |
| 03-06 23:33 | Ethereum flipped in 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 03-06 23:32 | Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than 7M ETH before 2027? | BUY | 0.0744186047 | $1.00 |
| 03-06 23:27 | Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? | BUY | 0.34999993 | $2.00 |
| 03-06 23:24 | Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 03-06 23:17 | Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.0310498739 | $1.00 |
| 03-06 23:14 | Will United Stables hit $3B in 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.15 |
| 12-09 21:05 | Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31? | SELL | 0.994 | $22.84 |
| 12-09 21:05 | No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | SELL | 0.973 | $12.97 |
| 12-09 21:04 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | SELL | 0.966 | $13.41 |