0x3a1b7a3168cf0bebdf746e4932d9668a336f7dba
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $16.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in November? · Yes | 0.149 | 0.195 | $10.72 | +$2.52 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.032 | $5.76 | −$14.35 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$54.51 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in September? · Yes | 0.136 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$47.50 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in September? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$115.89 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.167 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in September? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.43 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$105.60at 0.060Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in August?
- +$25.00at 0.550Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in September?
- +$18.75at 0.500Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September?
- +$15.16at 0.520Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in August?
- +$8.92at 0.650Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in September?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 19:28 | Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.07 |
| 10-05 15:50 | Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December? | SELL | 0.12 | $24.00 |
| 09-22 03:37 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in September? | SELL | 0.24 | $12.00 |
| 09-21 15:24 | Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $20.11 |
| 09-21 09:10 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in September? | BUY | 0.23 | $11.50 |
| 09-20 18:06 | Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.87 |
| 09-20 12:32 | Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September? | SELL | 0.005 | $1.25 |
| 09-20 12:32 | Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September? | SELL | 0.005 | $2.81 |
| 09-20 06:17 | Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September? | SELL | 0.007 | $5.67 |
| 09-20 04:04 | Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September? | SELL | 0.008 | $6.48 |
| 09-20 03:47 | Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September? | SELL | 0.009 | $4.46 |
| 09-18 19:53 | Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September? | BUY | 0.004 | $6.96 |
| 09-18 19:45 | Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September? | BUY | 0.004 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 19:44 | Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September? | BUY | 0.004 | $4.00 |
| 09-18 19:35 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | SELL | 0.09 | $13.50 |