0x3a033415189a9253cf1eff96345d95152d972684
- Realised P&L
- $-19.95
- Volume
- $3.3k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $4.02
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.429 | 0.512 | $2.39 | +$0.39 |
| Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.105 | $1.63 | −$1.17 |
| Will Dharmendra Pradhan be out as Minister of Education of India by September 30? · No | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Dharmendra Pradhan be out as Minister of Education of India by December 31? · No | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-3.16at 0.002Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?
- +$-16.08at 0.042Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 06:02 | Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? | BUY | 0.1799999537 | $2.80 |
| 07-25 08:43 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.4289999384 | $2.00 |
| 07-25 08:40 | Will Dharmendra Pradhan be out as Minister of Education of India by September 30? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 07-25 08:40 | Will Dharmendra Pradhan be out as Minister of Education of India by December 31? | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 22:02 | Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.00 |
| 07-19 21:55 | Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 20:29 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.017326128 | $10.83 |
| 07-19 00:58 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.04 | $6.00 |
| 07-19 00:47 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.04 | $19.00 |