xxchen0412
0x39fc488c1ea11145bdabff2d8b24e4f958985698
- Realised P&L
- $-778.91
- Volume
- $25.0k
- Markets traded
- 364
- Open portfolio
- $2.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded364
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$133.00at 0.200US government shutdown Saturday?
- +$47.00at 0.843Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?
- +$30.45at 0.445Will "Data Center" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
- +$30.00at 0.850Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?
- +$26.40at 0.120Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-26 15:59 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March? | BUY | 0.85 | $62.90 |
| 01-25 03:19 | Will "Sanders" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 01-25 03:18 | Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? | BUY | 0.5 | $0.50 |
| 01-25 03:18 | Will "Data Center" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.00 |
| 01-13 14:29 | Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026? | SELL | 0.69 | $82.80 |
| 01-13 13:10 | Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026? | SELL | 0.0895466346 | $3.73 |
| 01-12 15:18 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $26.00 |
| 01-01 16:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 1? | BUY | 0.76 | $6.08 |
| 12-31 15:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 31? | BUY | 0.59 | $5.90 |
| 12-30 07:00 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.02 | $2.00 |
| 12-29 00:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 29? | BUY | 0.93 | $93.00 |
| 12-18 01:13 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 by December 31? | BUY | 0.99 | $29.70 |
| 11-09 15:25 | 2025 September third hottest on record? | BUY | 0.2923976608 | $100.00 |