ybjnyjy
0x39fa32961d5001ff4e34b85b42f055cd21021b6b
- Realised P&L
- $85.88
- Volume
- $17.5k
- Markets traded
- 87
- Open portfolio
- $790.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded87
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President by September 30? · No | 0.988 | 0.998 | $281.30 | +$2.68 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.990 | 0.998 | $199.61 | +$1.60 |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of September 21 above $130? · No | 0.999 | 0.996 | $199.40 | −$0.60 |
| Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $1.00 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.968 | 0.996 | $110.50 | +$3.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.00at 0.890GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?
- +$7.94at 0.952Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 1 and June 7, 2026?
- +$6.84at 0.930US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
- +$5.75at 0.992Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
- +$3.82at 0.988Will Ethena reach $0.16 in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 01:43 | Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of September 21 above $130? | BUY | 0.9985007489 | $200.00 |
| 09-21 01:40 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $1.00 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.978 | $19.56 |
| 09-21 01:40 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $1.00 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.967 | $19.34 |
| 09-21 01:40 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $1.00 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.965 | $68.52 |
| 09-12 23:44 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of September 14 above $6.00? | BUY | 0.9988271923 | $289.00 |
| 09-06 01:38 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 7 – Sep 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $45.95 |
| 09-06 01:05 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of September 7 above $1.00? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.98 |
| 09-06 01:05 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of September 7 above $6.00? | BUY | 0.997 | $9.97 |
| 09-06 01:04 | Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of September 7 above $30? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.98 |
| 09-06 01:04 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $8.00-$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 7 – Sep 11? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.09 |
| 09-06 01:03 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $8.00-$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 7 – Sep 11? | BUY | 0.997 | $9.97 |
| 09-06 01:03 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 7 – Sep 11? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.09 |
| 09-06 01:03 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 7 – Sep 11? | BUY | 0.997 | $9.97 |
| 09-06 01:03 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $7.00-$8.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 7 – Sep 11? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.09 |
| 09-06 01:02 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $7.00-$8.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 7 – Sep 11? | BUY | 0.997 | $9.97 |