PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x39ee260f005f8d183dedcbf9a70e7840d1b7572f

0x39ee260f005f8d183dedcbf9a70e7840d1b7572f

Realised P&L
$4.02
Volume
$470.49
Markets traded
161
Open portfolio
$5.78

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded161
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration5.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5? · Yes0.3260.649$1.99+$0.99
US strike on Colombia by December 31? · Yes0.3200.225$1.55−$0.65
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? · No0.6500.865$1.33+$0.33
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · No0.7400.670$0.91−$0.09

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 19:22Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?BUY0.74$1.00
10-08 19:04Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?BUY0.3259999641$1.00
10-08 10:28Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?BUY0.649999805$1.00
10-08 02:28Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.25$1.00
10-07 14:33Will Corpus Christi FC win on 2026-10-07?BUY0.649999805$1.00
10-07 13:57SC Internacional vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5BUY0.6599997888$1.00
10-06 15:39Will FC Supra Du Quebec win on 2026-10-07?BUY0.64$1.00
10-06 12:03Will Spalding United FC win on 2026-10-06?BUY0.559999776$1.00
10-06 11:28Will Guandong GZ-Power FC win on 2026-10-07?BUY0.6699999196$1.00
10-06 07:36Wingate & Finchley FC vs. Bedford Town FC: O/U 3.5BUY0.6799998912$1.00
10-05 12:56Kazakhstan vs. Faroe Islands: O/U 2.5BUY0.64$1.00
10-04 19:49Will CA Bucaramanga win on 2026-10-04?BUY0.559999776$1.00
10-04 16:46Will El Salvador win on 2026-10-05?BUY0.6299998362$1.00
10-04 16:46Will Costa Rica win on 2026-10-04?BUY0.6199998512$1.00
10-04 14:54Costa Rica vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5BUY0.6799998912$1.00