PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x39ee260f005f8d183dedcbf9a70e7840d1b7572f

Realised P&L
$1.58
Volume
$59.46
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$16.01

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration99.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.2200.625$6.25+$4.05
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $78 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes0.3600.570$3.48+$1.28
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · Yes0.7000.730$2.29+$0.09
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.50 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes0.3400.340$2.20+$0.00
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? · No0.3900.330$1.86$0.34
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? · No0.3500.001$0.00$2.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 08:55Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.50 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.3399999104$2.20
08-04 00:53Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $78 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.3599999018$2.20
08-03 16:37US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.6999999364$2.20
08-03 08:36S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 3?BUY0.8$2.20
08-02 20:28Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.3899999362$2.20
08-02 00:02US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.22$2.20
08-01 16:01Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?BUY0.3499999125$2.20
08-01 05:28New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.91
07-31 21:24New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999268$1.95
07-31 13:23Another pandemic before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999268$1.95
07-31 03:59Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?BUY0.4989999935$1.99
07-30 18:55Will Trump say "Data Center" during cabinet meeting?BUY0.4$1.44