0x39ee260f005f8d183dedcbf9a70e7840d1b7572f
0x39ee260f005f8d183dedcbf9a70e7840d1b7572f
- Realised P&L
- $4.02
- Volume
- $470.49
- Markets traded
- 161
- Open portfolio
- $5.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded161
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5? · Yes | 0.326 | 0.649 | $1.99 | +$0.99 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.225 | $1.55 | −$0.65 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? · No | 0.650 | 0.865 | $1.33 | +$0.33 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · No | 0.740 | 0.670 | $0.91 | −$0.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.80at 0.220US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
- +$7.73at 0.227Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$4.46at 0.330Will anyone say "Coffee" during Big Brother E35?
- +$4.27at 0.340US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$4.21at 0.349Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.50 Week of August 3 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 19:22 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 19:04 | Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5? | BUY | 0.3259999641 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 10:28 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 02:28 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 14:33 | Will Corpus Christi FC win on 2026-10-07? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 13:57 | SC Internacional vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 15:39 | Will FC Supra Du Quebec win on 2026-10-07? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 12:03 | Will Spalding United FC win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 11:28 | Will Guandong GZ-Power FC win on 2026-10-07? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 07:36 | Wingate & Finchley FC vs. Bedford Town FC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 12:56 | Kazakhstan vs. Faroe Islands: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 19:49 | Will CA Bucaramanga win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 16:46 | Will El Salvador win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 16:46 | Will Costa Rica win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 14:54 | Costa Rica vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |