ReneeStrickland9059
0x39dd86dda9086f4d9c91429df016ce2bacad1bb5
- Realised P&L
- $-410.26
- Volume
- $195.4k
- Markets traded
- 167
- Open portfolio
- $12.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded167
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No | 0.540 | 0.795 | $10.34 | +$3.31 |
| Makina FDV above $80M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.070 | $2.10 | −$20.40 |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.080 | $0.08 | −$0.31 |
| Over $120M committed to the Ranger public sale? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.22 |
| Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by end of January? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.68 |
| U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.24 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$163.00at 0.390Will Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026?
- +$97.11at 0.390Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75%?
- +$80.00at 0.690Will "Evil Influencer: The Jodi Hildebrandt Story" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)
- +$70.88at 0.750Will Israel strike Gaza on January 1, 2026?
- +$67.02at 0.840Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-08 16:27 | Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | SELL | 0.74 | $8.88 |
| 01-11 19:46 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.55 | $244.20 |
| 01-11 17:06 | Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in January 2026? | SELL | 0.86 | $526.32 |
| 01-11 04:23 | Will Keon Ellis be traded this season? | SELL | 0.18 | $29.16 |
| 01-11 03:11 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.54 | $246.78 |
| 01-11 02:21 | Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027? | SELL | 0.55 | $295.90 |
| 01-11 01:42 | Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in January 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $538.56 |
| 01-10 23:31 | Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027? | BUY | 0.5 | $269.00 |
| 01-10 21:00 | Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by June 30? | SELL | 0.87 | $247.95 |
| 01-10 20:58 | Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by June 30? | SELL | 0.87 | $254.04 |
| 01-10 20:57 | Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by June 30? | SELL | 0.87 | $237.51 |
| 01-10 19:40 | Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027? | SELL | 0.5 | $71.00 |
| 01-10 18:25 | Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by June 30? | BUY | 0.87 | $739.50 |
| 01-10 18:16 | Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027? | BUY | 0.5 | $71.00 |
| 01-10 17:41 | Stripe IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.7 | $25.90 |