PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

matanovik

0x39d3c773be30fcc73161fc6768f46d563a779ef0

Realised P&L
$435.9k
Volume
$53.75M
Markets traded
2,545
Open portfolio
$16.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,545
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Spread: Louisville (-14.5) · Louisville0.4250.435$7.0k+$160.66
Will Sweden win on 2026-09-25? · No0.3300.305$3.1k−$257.14
Spread: Ohio State (-26.5) · Ohio State0.5100.505$3.0k−$29.51
Will France win on 2026-09-25? · No0.2800.275$1.1k−$19.86
Will Türkiye win on 2026-09-25? · Yes0.1100.115$1.0k+$44.80
Will Romania win on 2026-09-25? · Yes0.1300.115$641.36−$83.65
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Sangal (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs · JiJieHao0.5800.110$509.96−$2.2k
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.3850.435$434.90+$49.99
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees · Tampa Bay Rays0.4200.000$0.00−$32.6k
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5) · Pittsburgh Pirates0.2600.000$0.00−$670.54
Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? · No0.3700.000$0.00−$45.5k
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5) · Baltimore Orioles0.3200.000$0.00−$448.00
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5) · Seattle Mariners0.2700.000$0.00−$347.76
Colts vs. Chiefs · Colts0.2910.000$0.00−$29.6k
Giants vs. Rams: O/U 50.5 · Over0.4000.000$0.00−$16.6k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 17:43Spread: Louisville (-14.5)BUY0.43$3.4k
09-25 17:16Spread: Louisville (-14.5)BUY0.42$2.7k
09-25 17:12Spread: Ohio State (-26.5)BUY0.51$1.0k
09-25 17:09Spread: Ohio State (-26.5)BUY0.51$1.0k
09-25 17:07Spread: Ohio State (-26.5)BUY0.51$1.0k
09-25 17:00Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Sangal (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II PlayoffsBUY0.58$1.3k
09-25 16:53Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Sangal (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II PlayoffsBUY0.58$1.3k
09-25 16:36Will Türkiye win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.11$985.60
09-25 15:14Will Sweden win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.33$2.9k
09-25 15:04Will Romania win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.13$725.01
09-25 14:07Will France win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.28$1.1k
09-24 23:53Will Brazil win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.25$320.00
09-24 23:39Spread: Packers (-7.5)BUY0.38$873.91
09-24 23:27Spread: Packers (-7.5)BUY0.39$19.1k
09-24 21:45Falcons vs. Packers: O/U 40.5BUY0.42$3.6k