0x39c1f85c8b55f3875567a0abdb8b5b17826b6551
0x39c1f85c8b55f3875567a0abdb8b5b17826b6551
- Realised P&L
- $-8.60
- Volume
- $222.20
- Markets traded
- 77
- Open portfolio
- $3.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded77
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.325 | $1.16 | +$0.16 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? · No | 0.730 | 0.750 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.510 | $0.91 | −$0.09 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.055 | $0.21 | −$1.74 |
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $189 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.028 | $0.07 | −$0.93 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.96at 0.259Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?
- +$2.70at 0.432Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?
- +$2.11at 0.492Will Grab (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$1.85at 0.382Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?
- +$1.57at 0.560Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $630 Week of July 27 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 11:20 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 03:19 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 19:18 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 23:14 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $525 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 15:13 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $189 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 05:45 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 21:44 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 23:34 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 14:03 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 03:52 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 01:39 | Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 02:51 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 18:25 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 20:57 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 11:52 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |