YuNgTuRtLe
0x39ae70d6bd8d19392e6d197325aff703a6e186d4
- Realised P&L
- $1.1k
- Volume
- $25.9k
- Markets traded
- 68
- Open portfolio
- $2.9k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded68
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027? · No | 0.879 | 0.945 | $1.5k | +$104.42 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No | 0.969 | 0.981 | $984.37 | +$11.77 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? · No | 0.973 | 0.976 | $211.62 | +$0.62 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No | 0.680 | 0.695 | $138.99 | +$3.00 |
| Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027? · No | 0.937 | 0.980 | $40.67 | +$1.76 |
| Will Olivia Miles win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award? · Yes | 0.977 | 0.981 | $39.24 | +$0.16 |
| Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance · Colombia | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$61.00 |
| Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome? · No | 0.641 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$192.30 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$70.40 |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.045 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$270.49at 0.686NBA Playoffs: Spurs vs. Trail Blazers Total Games O/U 4.5
- +$154.00at 0.958Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
- +$113.73at 0.431Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
- +$71.49at 0.347NBA: SGA Award Parlay
- +$70.00at 0.650US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-10 19:13 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.68 | $135.99 |
| 07-24 16:17 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.9777692308 | $127.11 |
| 07-24 16:16 | Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 07-19 05:26 | Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.995 | $497.50 |
| 07-19 05:24 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.93 | $465.00 |
| 07-09 20:12 | Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.854 | $85.39 |
| 07-07 17:24 | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.045 | $22.50 |
| 07-07 05:07 | Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.61 | $61.00 |
| 07-03 08:14 | Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.668 | $66.79 |
| 07-03 08:14 | Will Anfernee Simons play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.987 | $41.83 |
| 07-03 08:13 | Will Marcus Smart play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.981 | $16.77 |
| 07-03 08:12 | Will Olivia Miles win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award? | BUY | 0.977 | $39.08 |
| 07-03 08:11 | Will Austin Reaves play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.991 | $100.00 |
| 07-03 08:09 | World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldo | BUY | 0.9869999999 | $50.00 |
| 07-03 08:05 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.975 | $100.00 |