Paoul1992
0x3991d10468617a369021fb8b9f85c60d4f873d0f
- Realised P&L
- $-180.56
- Volume
- $18.5k
- Markets traded
- 771
- Open portfolio
- $368.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded771
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.63at 0.532Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5
- +$10.00at 0.681Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Group D
- +$8.84at 0.472Will Nueva Chicago win on 2026-09-20?
- +$8.26at 0.570Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?
- +$7.68at 0.691Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 16:09 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.87 |
| 11-01 09:42 | US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $6.83 |
| 11-01 09:42 | Will the Republican Party win the NC-14 House seat? | BUY | 0.7799999977 | $6.83 |
| 11-01 09:42 | US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? | SELL | 0.94 | $13.84 |
| 10-31 23:00 | Will the Democratic Party win the NC-14 House seat? | BUY | 0.7899999549 | $5.60 |
| 10-31 23:00 | Will Rockstar release GTA VI on PC in January 2027 (ET)? | BUY | 0.7299999018 | $3.94 |
| 10-31 23:00 | US imports Russian diesel by January 31? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $3.00 |
| 10-31 22:59 | Will any other company have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026? | SELL | 0.9423490793 | $11.77 |
| 10-31 02:19 | US imports Russian diesel by December 31? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $3.00 |
| 10-31 02:18 | Will the Democratic Party win the TX-35 House seat? | SELL | 0.2473878628 | $2.81 |
| 10-30 18:43 | Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.699999982 | $3.89 |
| 10-30 18:43 | Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.7699998531 | $3.88 |
| 10-30 18:43 | Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4099999535 | $3.00 |
| 10-30 18:43 | Will any other company have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999816 | $9.12 |
| 10-30 18:42 | Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.967 | $19.58 |