0x398e2d6054127242a29b6d442c6b971aaf3d071f
0x398e2d6054127242a29b6d442c6b971aaf3d071f
- Realised P&L
- $9.44
- Volume
- $172.45
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $8.28
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $375 Week of September 28 2026? · No | 0.210 | 0.865 | $4.12 | +$3.12 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $502.50 Week of September 28 2026? · No | 0.380 | 0.743 | $1.96 | +$0.96 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.600 | 0.996 | $1.66 | +$0.66 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.060 | $0.26 | −$0.74 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.055 | $0.18 | −$1.41 |
| Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $148 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.024 | $0.10 | −$0.90 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.25at 0.278Trump renames AI by September 30?
- +$4.25at 0.278Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?
- +$2.95at 0.350US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$2.91at 0.359Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $115 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$2.45at 0.400Will Trump say "Think About It" during remarks in New York?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 18:59 | Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 08:03 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 23:37 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $350 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.6199997024 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 15:19 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $160 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 06:02 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $345 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 22:01 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $502.50 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 13:57 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $148 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 05:26 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $375 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 21:26 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 06:11 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:30 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 10:11 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 25? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 01:33 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $252 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 15:22 | Will Costco say "Hot Dog" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 06:03 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.2699999949 | $1.59 |