PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

inesi

0x393fc466035e7adf381fe7ca624a9adc74002db9

Realised P&L
$-12.43
Volume
$3.0k
Markets traded
190
Open portfolio
$52.50

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded190
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · Yes0.6740.665$11.99$0.17
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · No0.6220.875$9.11+$2.64
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · No0.6650.665$8.07+$0.00
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.7870.855$5.49+$0.44
Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed? · Yes0.2400.255$5.31+$0.31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · No0.7500.775$5.17+$0.17
Anne Hathaway baby: Boy or Girl? · Girl0.4900.495$5.05+$0.05
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · No0.6600.605$2.31$0.21

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 12:26Anne Hathaway baby: Boy or Girl?BUY0.4899999824$5.00
09-17 11:27Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?SELL0.88$11.94
09-17 04:34Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?SELL0.2$2.32
09-17 03:02Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?BUY0.659999963$5.00
09-17 00:25Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?SELL0.21$2.56
09-15 22:09Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.2099999983$5.00
09-15 21:44Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?SELL0.65$0.31
09-15 20:51Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.94$5.88
09-15 20:43Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?SELL0.75$0.12
09-15 20:13Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?SELL0.74$0.21
09-15 09:51Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?SELL0.88$3.15
09-15 08:29Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?SELL0.87$3.05
09-15 08:16Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?SELL0.88$0.13
09-14 22:13Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.8$5.00
09-14 18:51Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?SELL0.64$2.35