PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

WinnieTheXi0x

0x393698963563734a4263313c2d87c43211a08f21

Realised P&L
$-260.76
Volume
$70.2k
Markets traded
2,342
Open portfolio
$64.50

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,342
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration24.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? · Anthropic0.8010.900$16.86+$1.86
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? · No0.9230.980$15.91+$0.91
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.9450.931$9.86−$0.14
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9200.976$5.30+$0.30
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? · No0.9500.974$5.13+$0.13
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9300.948$5.10+$0.10
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1? · Up0.2660.215$2.03−$0.48
Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7400.285$1.93−$3.07
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9100.976$1.07+$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 1? · Yes0.0010.003$0.77+$0.46
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0490.018$0.36−$0.64
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.3500.065$0.19−$0.81
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on June 3? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$0.28
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on May 3? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on May 10? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 07:34Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1?SELL0.31$0.20
10-01 07:34Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1?SELL0.29$0.20
10-01 07:34Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1?SELL0.29$0.09
10-01 07:34Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1?SELL0.29$0.08
10-01 07:34Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1?SELL0.29$0.21
10-01 07:33Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1?SELL0.29$0.52
10-01 07:33Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1?SELL0.29$0.10
10-01 07:33Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1?SELL0.29$0.14
10-01 07:33Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1?SELL0.29$0.33
10-01 07:33Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1?SELL0.29$0.25
10-01 07:33Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1?SELL0.29$0.13
10-01 07:33Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1?SELL0.29$0.11
10-01 07:33Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1?SELL0.29$0.36
10-01 07:24Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1?BUY0.2662721862$5.00
10-01 07:12Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 1?BUY0.001$0.31