PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x392543E363a6b4B816D57F36eB643E2ED7B6D2F2-1771428592313

0x392543e363a6b4b816d57f36eb643e2ed7b6d2f2

Realised P&L
$-6.1k
Volume
$471.2k
Markets traded
481
Open portfolio
$163.04

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded481
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration52.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration75.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.2430.345$123.47+$36.47
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? · No0.0310.037$11.94+$1.94
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? · No0.0220.025$11.14+$1.14
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? · No0.1400.085$9.11−$5.89
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1500.175$5.58+$0.80
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1? · No0.0080.002$1.13−$4.88
Will voter turnout be between 68% and 70% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes0.0130.001$0.38−$9.62
Will voter turnout be between 70% and 72% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes0.0210.001$0.24−$9.76
Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · No0.0600.001$0.07−$7.93
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026? · No0.0600.000$0.00−$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET · Down0.0120.000$0.00−$2.52
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$20.00
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$10.00
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Egypt? · Yes0.0470.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET · Down0.0440.000$0.00−$11.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 18:44Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?BUY0.1399999989$15.00
11-01 18:44Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?BUY0.0309999999$10.00
11-01 18:44Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?BUY0.022$10.00
11-01 18:44Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1?BUY0.008$6.00
11-01 18:44Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 30?BUY0.004$5.00
11-01 18:43Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ETBUY0.1$1.00
10-27 20:19Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.7899999955$125.00
10-27 20:14Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.27$40.50
10-27 15:45Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.0599999997$8.00
10-27 15:45Will voter turnout be between 68% and 70% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.0131471806$10.00
10-27 15:45Will voter turnout be between 70% and 72% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.0211814482$10.00
10-27 15:43Will Otzma Yehudit win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.0877092753$30.00
10-27 15:41Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.1899999998$30.00
10-26 08:00Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?BUY0.0058180151$30.00
10-26 07:59Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?BUY0.0397358427$60.00