PolyBot

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Traders

0x39157762b2d32c48a44e8ff8ead10db052d9d678

0x39157762b2d32c48a44e8ff8ead10db052d9d678

Realised P&L
$9.76
Volume
$3.0k
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$101.07

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration69.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? · Yes0.5500.775$32.82+$9.53
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0520.051$24.76−$0.24
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes0.4400.200$21.26−$25.52
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.0900.022$12.25−$36.75
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · Yes0.2700.055$9.98−$39.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 01:01Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.052$25.00
06-19 03:47Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1849999988$111.65
06-03 15:50US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?BUY0.3799999948$23.38
03-23 16:13Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?BUY0.5499999965$23.29
03-17 13:15Netanyahu out by end of 2026?BUY0.4399999981$46.78
01-19 05:21Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?BUY0.32$30.00
01-15 06:58Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?SELL0.2$50.58
01-15 06:58Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?SELL0.39$72.15
01-09 16:38Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?BUY0.2699999967$49.00
01-09 16:07Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?BUY0.197699177$50.00
01-08 16:51Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?BUY0.2699999963$50.00
01-08 16:44Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?BUY0.0899999984$49.00