sleepylemur
0x38e82c7385dd079e9b94f0ee41c009098a064275
- Realised P&L
- $0.00
- Volume
- $479.01
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $277.66
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration77.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes | 0.589 | 0.545 | $214.74 | −$17.50 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No | 0.570 | 0.565 | $31.07 | −$0.27 |
| Los Angeles Sparks vs. Las Vegas Aces · Las Vegas Aces | 0.810 | 0.900 | $18.00 | +$1.80 |
| Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027? · No | 0.840 | 0.870 | $8.70 | +$0.30 |
| Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? · No | 0.780 | 0.765 | $3.83 | −$0.07 |
| Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.026 | $1.32 | +$0.33 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 03:07 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.57 | $15.39 |
| 09-22 03:00 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.57 | $15.96 |
| 09-22 02:18 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.547 | $5.47 |
| 09-22 01:09 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.549 | $10.98 |
| 09-22 00:36 | Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $3.90 |
| 09-22 00:25 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.547 | $3.83 |
| 09-22 00:18 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.546 | $10.92 |
| 09-22 00:11 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.547 | $27.35 |
| 09-21 23:56 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.538 | $4.30 |
| 09-21 03:37 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.608 | $30.40 |
| 09-21 03:35 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.608 | $30.40 |
| 09-21 03:31 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.608 | $30.40 |
| 09-21 03:22 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.608 | $3.04 |
| 09-21 03:19 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.608 | $3.22 |
| 09-21 03:03 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.608 | $23.54 |