PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

dages

0x38c848a754529192e9c149ab840bd58a01eb6e2f

Realised P&L
$76.89
Volume
$9.3k
Markets traded
101
Open portfolio
$107.66

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded101
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration93.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9020.982$101.09+$8.19
Will Angel City FC win on 2026-11-01? · Yes0.5600.365$6.57−$3.51
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-08-29? · Yes0.6100.000$0.00−$10.37
USC vs. Penn State · Penn State0.5300.000$0.00−$10.07
Guayaquil: Franco Roncadelli vs Valerio Aboian · Franco Roncadelli0.6000.000$0.00−$10.20
Brest: Stefano Travaglia vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert · Pierre-Hugues Herbert0.6800.000$0.00−$10.20
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-08-29? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00−$10.50
Sioux Falls: Mitchell Krueger vs Andres Andrade · Andres Andrade0.5900.000$0.00−$10.02
Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Claire Liu · Claire Liu0.6000.000$0.00−$10.20
Antofagasta: Juan Bautista Torres vs Pedro Boscardin Dias · Juan Bautista Torres0.5100.000$0.00−$10.20
Guayaquil: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Rodrigo Pacheco · Juan Pablo Varillas0.5200.000$0.00−$10.40
Guangzhou Open: Paula Badosa vs Harriet Dart · Paula Badosa0.7400.000$0.00−$10.36
Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Manuel La Serna · Juan Manuel La Serna0.5800.000$0.00−$10.44
LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage · CTBC Flying Oyster0.1800.000$0.00−$10.08
North Dakota State vs. UNLV · North Dakota State0.5900.000$0.00−$10.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 16:40USC vs. Penn StateBUY0.53$10.07
10-09 16:33UAB vs. MemphisBUY0.84$10.08
10-06 09:30China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de MinaurBUY0.62$10.54
09-15 14:44Colts vs. ChiefsBUY0.74$10.36
07-24 16:01Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $340 Week of July 20 2026?SELL0.002$0.04
07-24 15:19Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $427.50 Week of July 20 2026?SELL0.001$0.30
07-24 15:14Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 Week of July 20 2026?SELL0.001$0.02
07-24 15:10Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $312 Week of July 20 2026?SELL0.001$0.17
07-24 13:59Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $77.50 Week of July 20 2026?SELL0.002$0.07
07-24 13:55Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $62.50 Week of July 20 2026?SELL0.001$0.20
07-24 04:39Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 Week of July 20 2026?SELL0.01$0.25
06-12 04:03Will Curvance launch a token by June 30, 2027?SELL0.42$8.40
06-11 07:12Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?SELL0.62$6.57
06-02 16:01Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?SELL0.8998$89.98
06-02 12:14Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?SELL0.922$16.61