PolyBot

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Traders

bmmmm4

0x38c119720096af1c3c56b074717667f4cc742023

Realised P&L
$1.8k
Volume
$82.5k
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$11.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration84.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 10:57Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.5169999938$16.00
09-15 10:57Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?SELL0.1253359505$16.60
09-07 01:15Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.4100597046$186.02
09-07 01:14Israel closes its airspace by September 30?SELL0.22$190.74
09-05 23:04Israel closes its airspace by September 30?BUY0.3197531607$115.00
09-05 23:03Israel closes its airspace by September 30?BUY0.31$157.28
09-05 23:03Israel closes its airspace by September 30?SELL0.695461317$222.21
09-05 01:31Israel closes its airspace by September 30?BUY0.6259314455$200.00
09-05 01:10Israel closes its airspace by September 30?SELL0.4216981451$249.84
09-01 16:22Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.8393948617$1.4k
09-01 16:21Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.8199999997$383.00
09-01 16:21Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.8268542236$665.00
09-01 16:20Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.8175471434$1.1k
09-01 16:20Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?SELL0.999$3.6k
09-01 14:10Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.8813254058$300.00