0x38c022fa971d718b5b80ce46e334afe703bf3b73
- Realised P&L
- $-75.41
- Volume
- $3.2k
- Markets traded
- 512
- Open portfolio
- $8.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded512
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.86at 0.928Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9PM ET
- +$3.48at 0.968Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?
- +$2.24at 0.967Will Bayer Leverkusen advance to the round of 16?
- +$1.76at 0.969Will D66 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?
- +$1.69at 0.970Will CDA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 05:57 | XRP Up or Down - September 21, 1AM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $1.44 |
| 09-21 05:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 1AM ET | BUY | 0.981999992 | $1.96 |
| 09-21 04:56 | BNB Up or Down - September 21, 12AM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $1.96 |
| 09-21 03:57 | Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by September 20? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.96 |
| 09-21 03:57 | Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between September 16 and September 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.982999997 | $1.96 |
| 09-20 19:57 | Will CPRF win the next Chechnya Parliament elections? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.96 |
| 09-20 19:57 | Will United Russia win the next Chechnya Parliament elections? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.96 |
| 09-20 08:57 | XRP Up or Down - September 20, 4AM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $1.96 |
| 09-20 06:57 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 2AM ET | BUY | 0.9809999965 | $1.96 |
| 09-20 05:57 | Solana Up or Down - September 20, 1AM ET | BUY | 0.995 | $1.96 |
| 09-20 04:57 | Dogecoin Up or Down - September 20, 12AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $1.96 |
| 09-19 23:56 | Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.96 |
| 09-19 23:56 | Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.992999999 | $1.96 |
| 09-19 06:57 | BNB Up or Down - September 19, 2AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $1.95 |
| 09-19 05:57 | BNB Up or Down - September 19, 1AM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $1.95 |