F1geek
0x3844f28115f2f23c9aece1402a0f2be78d187285
- Realised P&L
- $226.12
- Volume
- $460.3k
- Markets traded
- 333
- Open portfolio
- $125.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded333
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$693.52at 0.367Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?
- +$459.04at 0.080Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?
- +$419.86at 0.192Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?
- +$360.90at 0.083Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
- +$286.19at 0.420Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 06:39 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.016 | $160.00 |
| 07-31 23:43 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.0150517608 | $162.78 |
| 07-29 16:56 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 07-29 15:48 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.003 | $20.00 |
| 07-28 12:20 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.002 | $5.00 |
| 07-28 12:14 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0138850319 | $10.00 |
| 07-28 12:14 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.012 | $3.60 |
| 07-25 15:01 | Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.982821305 | $55.00 |
| 07-25 15:00 | Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.78 | $23.40 |
| 07-25 14:59 | Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.5980392087 | $20.00 |
| 07-25 14:59 | Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.6338028136 | $30.00 |
| 07-25 14:59 | Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.171032032 | $18.79 |
| 07-25 14:55 | Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.5469233597 | $29.76 |
| 07-25 14:53 | Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.5520477521 | $20.00 |
| 07-25 14:53 | Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.5499999807 | $10.00 |