F1geek
0x3844f28115f2f23c9aece1402a0f2be78d187285
- Realised P&L
- $-10.19
- Volume
- $515.1k
- Markets traded
- 356
- Open portfolio
- $43.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded356
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$693.52at 0.366Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?
- +$459.04at 0.080Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?
- +$419.86at 0.192Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?
- +$360.91at 0.083Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
- +$286.19at 0.419Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 18:08 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.008 | $14.12 |
| 09-16 18:08 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.007 | $11.06 |
| 09-16 18:07 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.008 | $7.27 |
| 09-16 18:07 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.0128417775 | $21.14 |
| 09-16 12:53 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.12 | $12.00 |
| 09-15 23:32 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.60 |
| 09-15 23:31 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.008 | $9.60 |
| 09-15 23:30 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1099999999 | $20.00 |
| 09-15 23:30 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.1 | $11.44 |
| 09-15 23:29 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0250509691 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 23:29 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.025 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 23:27 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.011 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 23:26 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.1 | $34.31 |
| 09-15 23:25 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.016 | $12.32 |
| 09-15 23:25 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.0080129737 | $51.47 |