PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

F1geek

0x3844f28115f2f23c9aece1402a0f2be78d187285

Realised P&L
$-10.19
Volume
$515.1k
Markets traded
356
Open portfolio
$43.61

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded356
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration76.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0080.007$33.21$3.16
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? · Yes0.0380.050$10.40+$2.40
Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$10.00
Will Liam Lawson get pole position at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00$15.00
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$10.00
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? · Yes0.6620.000$0.00$73.40
Will One Battle After Another win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards? · No0.1200.000$0.00$6.00
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix? · Yes0.0670.000$0.00$21.77
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? · No0.0010.000$0.00$49.95
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$5.00
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix? · Yes0.3410.000$0.00$60.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0410.000$0.00$45.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET · Down0.4570.000$0.00$11.00
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$10.00
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix? · Yes0.1260.000$0.00$26.27

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 18:08Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.008$14.12
09-16 18:08Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.007$11.06
09-16 18:07Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.008$7.27
09-16 18:07Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?SELL0.0128417775$21.14
09-16 12:53Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.12$12.00
09-15 23:32Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.008$1.60
09-15 23:31Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.008$9.60
09-15 23:30Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.1099999999$20.00
09-15 23:30Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.1$11.44
09-15 23:29Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.0250509691$10.00
09-15 23:29Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.025$10.00
09-15 23:27Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.011$10.00
09-15 23:26Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.1$34.31
09-15 23:25Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.016$12.32
09-15 23:25Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.0080129737$51.47