0x384497c422f4ba42505cecc389916bb00f2411b4
0x384497c422f4ba42505cecc389916bb00f2411b4
- Realised P&L
- $-194.09
- Volume
- $38.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,340
- Open portfolio
- $499.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,340
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration10.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$41.90at 0.500Will the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on October 30?
- +$41.84at 0.500Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 57-58°F on October 30?
- +$20.84at 0.571Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8AM ET
- +$10.38at 0.538Ethereum Up or Down - September 14, 12AM ET
- +$8.60at 0.800Meta (META) Up or Down on November 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-22 08:57 | BNB Up or Down - October 22, 4AM ET | BUY | 0.9983123956 | $14.94 |
| 10-22 08:57 | Dogecoin Up or Down - October 22, 4AM ET | BUY | 0.9975900107 | $14.94 |
| 10-22 06:56 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 2AM ET | BUY | 0.995435982 | $15.39 |
| 10-22 05:57 | Dogecoin Up or Down - October 22, 1AM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $9.90 |
| 10-21 23:56 | Will the Bank of Korea hold at the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.93 |
| 10-21 19:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3PM ET | BUY | 0.9899999382 | $14.91 |
| 10-21 19:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $14.91 |
| 10-21 07:57 | XRP Up or Down - October 21, 3AM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $14.94 |
| 10-21 06:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2AM ET | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $14.16 |
| 10-21 05:56 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 1AM ET | BUY | 0.9889999996 | $14.16 |
| 10-21 05:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1AM ET | BUY | 0.975 | $14.16 |
| 10-21 03:56 | Will OpenAI not announce that it has resumed training by October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.80 |
| 10-21 03:56 | Will OpenAI announce that it has resumed training on October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.80 |
| 10-21 03:56 | Will OpenAI announce that it has resumed training on October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.48 |
| 10-20 23:56 | Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.81 |