PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x384497c422f4ba42505cecc389916bb00f2411b4

0x384497c422f4ba42505cecc389916bb00f2411b4

Realised P&L
$-194.09
Volume
$38.0k
Markets traded
1,340
Open portfolio
$499.24

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,340
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration10.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.986$71.26−$0.98
Will João Bernardo Vieira win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.985$71.19−$1.05
Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.985$71.19−$1.05
Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.977$70.61−$1.63
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.967$69.89−$2.35
Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.957$69.20−$3.04
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.884$31.98−$4.14
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 22, 4AM ET · Down0.9981.000$14.98+$0.04
BNB Up or Down - October 22, 4AM ET · Down0.9981.000$14.96+$0.03
Will SNSD win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election? · No0.9991.000$13.97+$0.01
Will Giovanni Nappi win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election? · No0.9990.000$0.00−$15.93
Dogecoin Up or Down - September 21, 8PM ET · Up0.3770.000$0.00−$22.56
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8PM ET · Down0.5870.000$0.00−$21.03
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8PM ET · Down0.9860.000$0.00−$98.80
Will Nicoletta Romano win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election? · Yes0.9900.000$0.00−$31.86

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-22 08:57BNB Up or Down - October 22, 4AM ETBUY0.9983123956$14.94
10-22 08:57Dogecoin Up or Down - October 22, 4AM ETBUY0.9975900107$14.94
10-22 06:56Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 2AM ETBUY0.995435982$15.39
10-22 05:57Dogecoin Up or Down - October 22, 1AM ETBUY0.999$9.90
10-21 23:56Will the Bank of Korea hold at the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.999$12.93
10-21 19:57Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3PM ETBUY0.9899999382$14.91
10-21 19:57Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3PM ETBUY0.99$14.91
10-21 07:57XRP Up or Down - October 21, 3AM ETBUY0.999$14.94
10-21 06:56Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2AM ETBUY0.9969999999$14.16
10-21 05:56Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 1AM ETBUY0.9889999996$14.16
10-21 05:56Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1AM ETBUY0.975$14.16
10-21 03:56Will OpenAI not announce that it has resumed training by October 20, 2026?BUY0.999$14.80
10-21 03:56Will OpenAI announce that it has resumed training on October 20, 2026?BUY0.999$14.80
10-21 03:56Will OpenAI announce that it has resumed training on October 20, 2026?BUY0.998$4.48
10-20 23:56Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?BUY0.999$14.81