PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

bb84675

0x383a8013f91496029826d99cfcadc62c27fea20c

Realised P&L
$-65.59
Volume
$11.3k
Markets traded
557
Open portfolio
$136.27

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded557
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration6.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 18:06Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 12?BUY0.5017491749$4.56
10-11 16:56Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on October 13?BUY0.82$4.66
10-11 16:46Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 12?BUY0.7$4.54
10-11 16:46Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 12?BUY0.53$4.41
10-11 16:46Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 12?BUY0.5433943834$4.45
10-11 16:26Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on October 13?BUY0.82$4.66
10-11 16:26Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 13?BUY0.75$4.57
10-11 15:07Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on October 11?SELL0.996$5.79
10-11 12:06Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 12?BUY0.5810214376$4.61
10-11 09:31Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on October 11?BUY0.5098631699$4.47
10-11 08:36Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on October 12?BUY0.5008779932$4.39
10-11 06:56Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on October 13?BUY0.86$4.67
10-11 06:36Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on October 12?BUY0.72$4.55
10-11 06:36Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 12?BUY0.55$4.43
10-11 06:26Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on October 13?BUY0.6699853801$4.58